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  • Profile photo of pc9geekpc9geek
    Member
    @pc9geek
    Join Date: 2012
    Post Count: 25

    Hi,

    as you may be aware I am a new forum member and I have just returned from a fact finding trip to the USA to have a look at the property market. I thought I would share my experience.

    Firstly I went to St Louis and Charlotte NC.

    I chose these cities for the following reasons.

    St Louis… Very high rental yields on a number of Multi-Tennant Apartment buildings listed for sale <500k (20% gross)
    Charlotte NC, high quality Single Family Residences in an area with low rental vacancy and limited stock, but low acquisition cost.

    I avoided the typical Florida/Atlanta/Nevada due to high vacancy rates and sheer number of vacant properties in the market (personal choice/opinion)

    Additionally as I am a pessimist I was looking for areas which would experience strong migration in the event of continued economic difficulty.

    St Louis, is fabulous city with a strong future and good fundamentals, home to a the headquarters of a number of fortune 500 companies. However the “Slumlord apartment owner” was not the style of investment I was looking for. Most buildings in this category I viewed were old, rundown, and tenants were on month to month leases. The risk of owning one of these whilst living overseas and having a property manager try to deal with issues certainly outweighed the high theoretical returns.

    Charlotte NC, is a beautiful part of the world. Reminded me of Maine but with better weather. I caught up with AlexSC from these forums and he showed me around. I was impressed with the team Alex has built, to enable him to purchase REO properties well below the value that that the Bank Asset Managers would like, rehab them and turn them into quality long term investments. It underscored a very important and fundamental point and that is the process of locating, bidding, buying, rehabbing, tenanting and managing a property investment in the USA requires intimate and detailed knowledge.

    On the topic of local knowledge, as an Australian I probably undervalued this when looking into the US market. At home no real consideration is given to house values based on the proportion of home owners in a particular street. In Australia house prices all tend to trend the same in a particular area. However, in the US the same house could be worth 50% less just one street away, and as foreclosures mount home some home owner neighborhoods are now turning into rental neighborhoods. I looked at a number of estates built in 2000-2006, where the developer in conjunction with a low doc lender turned many prior renters into homeowners. Foreclosures are now reversing that process, these estates are gradually turning into rental neighborhoods. Not that that is a bad thing, from an investors point of view, these are beautiful modern solid houses, which will always rent easily. It is just that you have to understand how to correctly value them.

    Another interesting thing I discovered about myself while I was in the USA, and that is I did not know how to act around black people. Honestly I was a bit scared of them. Fortunately I discovered that I was an idiot, and I really enjoyed talking to those I met.

    One question I had to answer on my visit was.. how long did I think it would take for property values to begin appreciating. Even after looking at close to 50 properties across the market spectrum I still have no idea. All I can say is that in my opinion an investment in the market at this stage is a cash-flow play.

    While I was in the USA the 7.30 report on USA property scams was aired. I watched it from my hotel room. My initial reaction was OMG what am I doing here. But when I really looked closely at it I could see that it was not criticizing that value of investing in US properties but instead was a cautionary tale about dealing with overseas promoters who inflate the price of these properties and sell them to unwary investors with no regard to the soundness of the investment.

    So yes I will be investing in properties in the USA. But I will only work with local experts in the areas I choose. While Zillow is a great resource I won’t be buying from it.

    Steve

    Profile photo of lawsjslawsjs
    Participant
    @lawsjs
    Join Date: 2002
    Post Count: 252

    And your last paragraph Steve was exactly why we persisted so long to get the story told. You could not have done better with your research. An you did it without joining fees, VIP tours, Inventory inspections, in house finance and all the other accoutrements designed to trap the ‘astute invetsor’.

    Well Done!!

    Profile photo of quickchickquickchick
    Member
    @quickchick
    Join Date: 2004
    Post Count: 168

    Hey Steve,

    We agree with lots of your comments.
    We have been in Phoenix for 11 days this time, and about 3 weeks (on 3 different trips) last year.

    To invest in USA as an Aussie without having a very good knowledge of the specific area you are investing in, is pretty risky.
    And investing in the hope of capital growth, which may pay off, is speculative too.

    We are here to live, on a business visa to provide this service to investors in the Phoenix market. 
    We are building our network of local experts and will learn from their experience.
    There is a great opportunity for renovation and selling here, but you have to know which areas will sell quickly, how much to sell for to get a quick sale, how to renovate according to the taste of Phoenix buyers….. very different to Aussie tastes! And of course, different neighbourhoods want different features. 

    We are not so arrogant as to think we are area experts after 1 month! 

    Ruth.

    propertyinvestingusa.com 

    Profile photo of DubstepDubstep
    Participant
    @dubstep
    Join Date: 2012
    Post Count: 395

    Hi All,

    I'm fairly new to this site but have taken interested in the many forums and posts on Australian's purchasing IP's in the US.

    I can see the good opportunities, and my query is: has anyone sold any of their IP's over there or had any issues with selling in the US ?
     
    Are there any other issues, i.e capital gains tax. etc  ?

    Profile photo of kylermricekylermrice
    Participant
    @kylermrice
    Join Date: 2011
    Post Count: 314

    I'm surprised you couldn't find more options in St. Louis than just the slum lord multi family.  I haven't heard of to many people tapping that market other than the locals.  

    Profile photo of kylermricekylermrice
    Participant
    @kylermrice
    Join Date: 2011
    Post Count: 314

    One question I had to answer on my visit was.. how long did I think it would take for property values to begin appreciating. Even after looking at close to 50 properties across the market spectrum I still have no idea. All I can say is that in my opinion an investment in the market at this stage is a cash-flow play.

    I gave up on trying to figure that one out after 2010.  They have in my area about 5,000 to 10,000 and at least 30,000 in the markets I used to buy in FL.  The cash flow is the best part, that's all I'm counting on and anything else is a bonus. 

    Profile photo of Ziv Nakajima-MagenZiv Nakajima-Magen
    Participant
    @zmagen
    Join Date: 2012
    Post Count: 523

    Great post, Steve, thanks for that.

    Loved the "fear of black people" – I think as Australians, we're about 40 (if not 70) years behind "the times" in our ingrained xenophobia – give it a few more generations (barring more megapolis terrorist attacks) and we'll get there. :)

    Also completely agree about cap gains being speculative. Your attempt to assess areas based on potential economic downturn migration trends and cashflow returns is, in my view, the only way to go at the moment, no matter where you invest – been doing the exact same in Japan (except we also try to assess radiation plumage migration rates now and again ;))

    Ziv Nakajima-Magen | Nippon Tradings International (NTI)
    http://www.nippontradings.com
    Email Me | Phone Me

    Ziv Nakajima-Magen - Partner & Executive Manager, Asia-Pacific @ NTI - Japan Real-Estate Investment Property

    Profile photo of pc9geekpc9geek
    Member
    @pc9geek
    Join Date: 2012
    Post Count: 25
    kylermrice wrote:
    I'm surprised you couldn't find more options in St. Louis than just the slum lord multi family.  I haven't heard of to many people tapping that market other than the locals.  

    Hi Kyler,

    it is all I was looking at in St Louis, I went over with a plan and stuck to it. I am sure there are many more options, I just didn’t have the time to explore them.

    Steve

    Profile photo of quickchickquickchick
    Member
    @quickchick
    Join Date: 2004
    Post Count: 168

    No capital gains tax in USA.
    Re selling problems?
    We've sold 2 rehabbed houses in the past year, and done a IRS tax return after the first.
    If you have a house in an area people want to live, in reasonable condition, it should sell at a reasonable price.
    But sometimes buying off the net, its hard to realise the area could be one no-one chooses to live in, rents are just cheap so tenants feel stuck there….
    If someone buys something like that at mark-up from a sales group, selling may be very hard, as the only buyer may be an out of state or out of country investor looking for a "bargain" too.

    I absolutely agree, don't rely on capital appreciation.You may get it, if you can hang on a few years and the area is "right" but don't let that be your only way to make it profitable. Cash flow, or create a profit.

    Time in an area is crucial, as Steve figured, so I think you did well to stick to one niche in one market, Steve, and at least get an idea of what it would mean to invest there, and build some contacts. 

    Ruth
    propertyinvestingusa.com

    Profile photo of lawsjslawsjs
    Participant
    @lawsjs
    Join Date: 2002
    Post Count: 252
    quickchick wrote:

    We are not so arrogant as to think we are area experts after 1 month! 

    Ruth.

    propertyinvestingusa.com 

    So why in gods name are you attempting to flog your lack of experience to others? This is exactly the type of operation that makes me very nervous. I used to be open minded until I saw first hand exactly how this can end in tears.

    Steve (above) went and spent time with someone who clearly knew what they were doing and had basically spent their entire lives in the same area. I've done OK in RE in the US but the only reason I have done that is because (like Steve) I went out and found an expert I felt (for whatever reason) comfortable with. Pre internet that was very difficult and time consuming to do, but the work I put in was worth it.

    I have no issue with you (or anyone else) going to the US armed with a US Property Power Pack written by an Australian with only a smattering of understanding of the US market and having a go yourself, but to foist that inexperience on others and use that inexperience to sell a product I do have issues with. The only thing that makes me at all comfortable with what your website says is that you (unlike a LOT of others) do make it clear you have no experience to speak of at all.

    I am sure you are nice people, but I only looked at your website because your posts conveyed a total lack of experience and understanding. Unfortunately your website merely confirmed this. You can make good money investing for yourself, but please avoid involving your advice/inexperience and other people's money – I can all but guarantee tears and suffering….

    Profile photo of EngeloRumoraEngeloRumora
    Participant
    @engelorumora
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 618

    Hi Ruth,

    Please send an email to [email protected]

    I would like to know more about what you do and how you got started.

    Thanks

    Regards,
    Engelo

    quickchick wrote:
    No capital gains tax in USA.
    Re selling problems?
    We've sold 2 rehabbed houses in the past year, and done a IRS tax return after the first.
    If you have a house in an area people want to live, in reasonable condition, it should sell at a reasonable price.
    But sometimes buying off the net, its hard to realise the area could be one no-one chooses to live in, rents are just cheap so tenants feel stuck there….
    If someone buys something like that at mark-up from a sales group, selling may be very hard, as the only buyer may be an out of state or out of country investor looking for a "bargain" too.

    I absolutely agree, don't rely on capital appreciation.You may get it, if you can hang on a few years and the area is "right" but don't let that be your only way to make it profitable. Cash flow, or create a profit.

    Time in an area is crucial, as Steve figured, so I think you did well to stick to one niche in one market, Steve, and at least get an idea of what it would mean to invest there, and build some contacts. 

    Ruth
    propertyinvestingusa.com

    EngeloRumora | Ohio Cashflow
    http://ohiocashflow.com/
    Email Me | Phone Me

    F@#$ THE REST WORK WITH OHIO CASHFLOW TO INVEST

    Profile photo of EngeloRumoraEngeloRumora
    Participant
    @engelorumora
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 618

    Great post Steve,

    If I was to buy through any BA it would prob be Alex. I believe he is doing some great stuff in Charlotte.

    Engelo

    pc9geek wrote:
    Hi, as you may be aware I am a new forum member and I have just returned from a fact finding trip to the USA to have a look at the property market. I thought I would share my experience. Firstly I went to St Louis and Charlotte NC. I chose these cities for the following reasons. St Louis… Very high rental yields on a number of Multi-Tennant Apartment buildings listed for sale <500k (20% gross) Charlotte NC, high quality Single Family Residences in an area with low rental vacancy and limited stock, but low acquisition cost. I avoided the typical Florida/Atlanta/Nevada due to high vacancy rates and sheer number of vacant properties in the market (personal choice/opinion) Additionally as I am a pessimist I was looking for areas which would experience strong migration in the event of continued economic difficulty. St Louis, is fabulous city with a strong future and good fundamentals, home to a the headquarters of a number of fortune 500 companies. However the "Slumlord apartment owner" was not the style of investment I was looking for. Most buildings in this category I viewed were old, rundown, and tenants were on month to month leases. The risk of owning one of these whilst living overseas and having a property manager try to deal with issues certainly outweighed the high theoretical returns. Charlotte NC, is a beautiful part of the world. Reminded me of Maine but with better weather. I caught up with AlexSC from these forums and he showed me around. I was impressed with the team Alex has built, to enable him to purchase REO properties well below the value that that the Bank Asset Managers would like, rehab them and turn them into quality long term investments. It underscored a very important and fundamental point and that is the process of locating, bidding, buying, rehabbing, tenanting and managing a property investment in the USA requires intimate and detailed knowledge. On the topic of local knowledge, as an Australian I probably undervalued this when looking into the US market. At home no real consideration is given to house values based on the proportion of home owners in a particular street. In Australia house prices all tend to trend the same in a particular area. However, in the US the same house could be worth 50% less just one street away, and as foreclosures mount home some home owner neighborhoods are now turning into rental neighborhoods. I looked at a number of estates built in 2000-2006, where the developer in conjunction with a low doc lender turned many prior renters into homeowners. Foreclosures are now reversing that process, these estates are gradually turning into rental neighborhoods. Not that that is a bad thing, from an investors point of view, these are beautiful modern solid houses, which will always rent easily. It is just that you have to understand how to correctly value them. Another interesting thing I discovered about myself while I was in the USA, and that is I did not know how to act around black people. Honestly I was a bit scared of them. Fortunately I discovered that I was an idiot, and I really enjoyed talking to those I met. One question I had to answer on my visit was.. how long did I think it would take for property values to begin appreciating. Even after looking at close to 50 properties across the market spectrum I still have no idea. All I can say is that in my opinion an investment in the market at this stage is a cash-flow play. While I was in the USA the 7.30 report on USA property scams was aired. I watched it from my hotel room. My initial reaction was OMG what am I doing here. But when I really looked closely at it I could see that it was not criticizing that value of investing in US properties but instead was a cautionary tale about dealing with overseas promoters who inflate the price of these properties and sell them to unwary investors with no regard to the soundness of the investment. So yes I will be investing in properties in the USA. But I will only work with local experts in the areas I choose. While Zillow is a great resource I won't be buying from it. Steve

    EngeloRumora | Ohio Cashflow
    http://ohiocashflow.com/
    Email Me | Phone Me

    F@#$ THE REST WORK WITH OHIO CASHFLOW TO INVEST

    Profile photo of quickchickquickchick
    Member
    @quickchick
    Join Date: 2004
    Post Count: 168

    Well, lawsjs,

    I'm not sure whether to defend ourselves or not even bother.

    Anonymous people with a largely unknown track record, apart from what they have chosen to disclose online, are ok to throw mud at people they do not know.
    And people like us who have and are, putting a lot of time and effort into specialising in a new investing area in addition to a long history of success and education in Australian property, should have an even playing field.

    Let me start by saying, I think it's great that you have invested leveraging off someone else's knowledge. A wise move, as many will agree. I have no reason to have any problem with your US agent or the service she is providing, although I do not know her at all. 

    Our lack of experience is relative.

    If you are familiar with the steps in becoming an expert, they go from not knowing what you don't know, to finding out what questions to ask, to learning from personal experience, and applying their ongoing knowledge to explore further questions as they arise. We are partnering with, and being mentored by, people with a proven track record on the ground. We are learning new things every day. Dare I suggest, our ignorance is way more aware and well advised than others'. And no, I am not throwing that as a barb to you personally.

    Our connections can save people time (how long does it take to arrive in a new city and meet competent rehab people?)
    They can help people earn a good profit with well-managed risk, and we will keep them updated frequently and personally monitor the progress. All work is done with registered contractors, and our clients only buy through qualified realtors who have expertise in their field. And the property is in the name of the client's LLC.
    We are on the ground, and have the knowledge to research all of the requirements for a good cash flow property. We are driving through neighbourhoods we have already researched, and already have very good personal knowledge through our 16 months of research and personal experience in this market.  We will not misrepresent any investment for the sake of making money from someone, but will only put forward a deal that we would consider worthy of our own purchase.

    We are not charging any upfront fees.

    I take issue with you slamming our endeavours with no knowledge of us as people, as investors, or how much work we have put into this venture. And as to our posts conveying a lack of experience, an E2 visa is not only about investing $100,000 minimum in USA. It is about employment created in the USA, about leasing space, about a business plan that US immigration considers is likely to be boost in some way to the local economy.

    I could go on.

    Last but not least, we are honoured to be insulted in the same paragraph as Steve McKnight. 

    Ruth
    propertyinvestingusa.com

    Profile photo of lawsjslawsjs
    Participant
    @lawsjs
    Join Date: 2002
    Post Count: 252

    Quickchick,
    Nor do I have any interest in a public slanging match with yet another USproperty company as I have been quite busy enough trying to help people see some of the more obvious scams for exactly what they are.
    I congratulate you on getting an E2, it puts you a long way above most other operators, but the facts as they seem to be are that you have flipped 2 properties in the US and have read (probably devoured) Steve's US Property Power Pack thingy. You do live in the US (now) and visted 3 times in 2011. Your site appears to require registration which I assume will give you no more information than you could gleen from the net in Australia. One of the properties you show before and after photo's of looks to me suspicously like a mobile (I say suspciously because I may be wrong) – something Steve also portays as examples in his USA PP thingy, but a clear danger sign for those who know. All around it just doesn't engender confidence in me at all. Add to that something I see a major red flag with –  'the property is in the name of the clients LLC'. It is appreciated that you are pointing out you are not buying directly from some flippers Aladdins Cave, but I have to assume from that comment you yourselves have no US real estate qualifications whatsoever and are merely putting people (valued clients?) in touch with businesses that are licenced?

    I am particularly drawn to this comment which (aside from you appearing legally unqualified) I think goes to the heart of my concerns:

    "………..Our connections can save people time (how long does it take to arrive in a new city and meet competent rehab people?)….."

    The answer to that question I would measure in years!!  

    With any of this US property stuff, the big problem is management and that does not even appear to be touched upon – understandably because you have explained quite well you do not have any experience whatsoever in that as yet.

    Again I say I applaud what you are personally setting out to do, but despite you no doubt being very nice people I stand by my comments above and suggest you learn about what it is you are doing yourselves before you try to 'assist' others. That may sound harsh, but if you are setting out to do the right thing, paying regard to a comment like that I can all but promise you will save you weeks of sleepless nights while you worry about the spot fires your inexperience will have created. At least, I hope you would lie awake at night worrying – most do not I am sure.

    Being positive for a final note, you are living there and are allowed to work there without having to decamp for 'visa runs'. I also note with some optimism that you are not Andrew Allan and don't seem to be related to Trent Richards. So good so far:)

    PS: Very depressingly, my US agent is as far from being female as it is possible to be and even if I was extremely drunk would never appear good looking enough to even suggest anything other than being a middle aged guy:(

    PPS: Your comment 'Let me start by saying, I think it's great that you have invested leveraging off someone else's knowledge. A wise move, as many will agree…', Let me finish by saying:):) the only thing I leveraged off was the experience of a _qualified and licenced US Realtor_ which is what I strongly suggest everyone does. In short I found an agent I liked and who was prepared to deal with a foreigner and bought properties they had listed, just like anyone else could do. No inexperienced middle man/woman involved anywhere:) 

    Profile photo of quickchickquickchick
    Member
    @quickchick
    Join Date: 2004
    Post Count: 168

    A few quick facts to straighten your misconceptions,
    Neither house was a mobile home.

    Fix and flips takes a lot of specific expertise and most realtors don't have the skills to pick a fix and flip. Their training is in selling houses, not picking rehab deals. 
    A realtor in general, of course wants to sell houses and Aussie investors should beware of just buying any house they see on the net, including for buy and hold. How did you know your exact area? A visit once or twice will not help when looking on the net from Aus. Neighbourhoods here can change street by street. As with many US cities.
    We already have the connections, and are building our team. 

    We have been visiting the US annually since 2002 to visit family, and travel, including looking at property. We were in USA for over 10 weeks last year.
    The USA Power Pack has been a useful tool which has helped us to know some of the many differences in set up and process in USA. 

    We are not here to "work" in a job. All out time and effort go into our business, to fast tracking our progress. An E2 visa does not allow the holder to work a  paid job.
    We are not here to property manage, (and fix and flips do not require property managers as they are not rented) but will follow up with any client's property management in person, as required.     

    I am done with defending ourselves, readers will make up their own minds.

    Profile photo of Alex SCAlex SC
    Participant
    @alex-sc
    Join Date: 2011
    Post Count: 585

     On the topic of local knowledge, as an Australian I probably undervalued this when looking into the US market. At home no real consideration is given to house values based on the proportion of home owners in a particular street. In Australia house prices all tend to trend the same in a particular area. However, in the US the same house could be worth 50% less just one street away, and as foreclosures mount home some home owner neighborhoods are now turning into rental neighborhoods. I looked at a number of estates built in 2000-2006, where the developer in conjunction with a low doc lender turned many prior renters into homeowners. Steve thanks for the kind words.  To continue on what you're saying, this is where most USA and Australian resellers will disagree with me. The  newer homes built 2000 and above are still going to be in rental areas down the road, which is when you will start to see numerous foreclosures in the same area. We are now taking this area that was retail and making it rental. So the value years from now, how will this appreciate?  You are 100 % correct. These are mostly track homes in states like NC, SC , Florida , Atlanta and a few other markets.  I showed you the Streator house; very nice home and area. Actually scheduled to close may 8th on that one. ( damn banks can't get things done as fast as I want them to ) Same area, less than three blocks away you saw what I was talking about. Seems the areas are imploding from the outside in.  So to me, cash flow is really all we are looking at.  Walking in and saying we have equity or future appreciation; I just do not see it. I am sure I am going against what everyone else is saying, and selling. I could be 100 % wrong, but what you pay is what the property is worth. Equity: go to a bank and tell them you want to pull that Equity out of the property. LOL Good Luck looks great on paper, but come one.

    Foreclosures are now reversing that process, these estates are gradually turning into rental neighborhoods. Not that that is a bad thing, from an investors point of view, these are beautiful modern solid houses, which will always rent easily. It is just that you have to understand how to correctly value them. Again, I am glad you took the time to drive around with me. I hope you called the other Realtor and rental signs ( numbers in those areas). This is such a great way to see if some one is full of it or if they really are feeding you a line of (C____P). That being said, we are looking for a nicer product than what you saw. Jay was the first one to point me in that direction, as well as a few others. I do appreciate the compliments, but companies like mine are learning from companies like Jay's.

    My reason for giving Jay credit:  Quite a few things to be honest since he has changed a lot of my ways of thinking in this business. Real estate is a business which most seem to forget.

    1: Lower end rehabs: He showed me a better, more efficient way to do the rehab( Jay do you know how many sewer lines just went on us)

    2: Made me think about the nicer end product which potentially could justify ( equity and future appreciation ) less of these
        types of homes around. These are more of the 2000 sq ft and larger homes must be built 2000 and above. Looking for 4
        bedroom 3 bath or 3 bed 2 and half bath. I believe Emma made the comment about homes 2000 sqft and above homes.

    3:  The buy and hold we are going to be selling less homes,  working on a module similar to TWH, but raising capital as long  
          term partners paying the loan and holding  for long term.

    4: Building new homes and town homes ( 4 bed 2 bath with half bath) Jay was building some nice homes and had some
       good things. So I am learning quick  to take advantage of capital that is out their.

    . Another interesting thing I discovered about myself while I was in the USA, and that is I did not know how to act around black people. Honestly I was a bit scared of them. Fortunately I discovered that I was an idiot, and I really enjoyed talking to those I met.   LOL So all black people are not rappers or pro football players.

    One question I had to answer on my visit was.. how long did I think it would take for property values to begin appreciating. Even after looking at close to 50 properties across the market spectrum I still have no idea. All I can say is that in my opinion an investment in the market at this stage is a cash-flow play. I agree 100 %.  We are looking for the properties that are priced for resell from $125k to $180k with rental being about 1 % . To me this could be the equity and future appreciation spread. Not trying to contradict myself with the equity comment.

     While I was in the USA the 7.30 report on USA property scams was aired. I watched it from my hotel room. My initial reaction was OMG what am I doing here. But when I really looked closely at it I could see that it was not criticizing that value of investing in US properties but instead was a cautionary tale about dealing with overseas promoters who inflate the price of these properties and sell them to unwary investors with no regard to the soundness of the investment.  Watch now most of the resellers will now base the properties not on cash flow, but future appreciation. Just had this conversation today with a USA reseller and I now see the signs of  warning for  the USA or international  resellers to be careful .  Jay, you again already predicted the SEC and securities involved in the selling, collecting fees as unlicensed agents.  Hearing the rumbling now and the 7.30 report Great that ( Emma and Jeremy ) did that was also brought to my attention.

    So yes I will be investing in properties in the USA. But I will only work with local experts in the areas I choose. While Zillow is a great resource I won't be buying from it. Zillow is good but again, no one is going to be an expert in all areas. I am still learning about Charlotte area as it changes . I think people should look at investing with teams and two key factors for teams. Jay has been in this game since I was kid so his know how and understanding of real estate  is going to be way more than mine. For someone like me, local product is the only thing  that I can offer assistance on but no one is perfect or going to be 100 % correct. No different then Cheeves , Kyler , and Emma sorry there are others who offer some solid advice.  but Steve [/quote]

    Profile photo of mihovimihovi
    Member
    @mihovi
    Join Date: 2012
    Post Count: 65

    Please, take a look at my comment at https://www.propertyinvesting.com/forums/property-investing/overseas-deals/4344313.
    Just a small mention though, as I see you guys getting info from Zillow.com. As a free tool, is not bad, but between investors in the US is well known that Zillow is far away from the reality. It uses optimizing engines for averaging property prices based on the areas around and the history of the property. TRULIA.COM offer way better info and more accurate. It is free, as well. There are paid services with monthly subscriptions, but at this point you don't need them.

    Profile photo of kylermricekylermrice
    Participant
    @kylermrice
    Join Date: 2011
    Post Count: 314

    @ Mihova

    the link above got deleted, admin must have not liked all the advertising

    Profile photo of jayhinrichsjayhinrichs
    Participant
    @jayhinrichs
    Join Date: 2011
    Post Count: 1,177

    wow!!!

    One week of this site and a lot has occured…

    Alex is being far to generous in my behalf… Yes Alex and his partner Kevin and I have had many in depth conversations about the US market…

    My main goal on this site was to try to keep nice honest hard working folks from being taken advantage of by those selling properties either for far more than they were worth, or in areas that are not sustainable as a rental property ( unless you live there and work it like Kyler).. there is a place for all investments in the US.  Although some markets are beyond salvage.

    Its a hard concept to think that in Detroit 40,000 homes could be bulldozed and there would still be enough housing for all.

    Our big cities in the US are going through funcitional obsolensense.. And those not educated enough or chasing some rainbow will get caught up in buying in these areas, thats just a fact. And plenty of US buyers buy in lowend no chance areas as well.

    From my point of view given whats happen in the last 4 years in the US… no one has a crystal ball…

    If you want a sure thing investment invest like you would in OZ… 2 to 5 % return and a pretty good chance of capital presurvation and capital gain…

    where are those areas… LA the better parts… SF the better parts… NY the better parts… Boston the Better parts.  Seattle the better parts… Perhaps Vegas in a few years… Some parts of Florida,,,, got to like Charlotte home of B of A…. Even here in my home town of portland, I am pretty certain if you bought at the bottom you will make money on capital appreciation… Then throw in your currency exchange and your really in for it….

    I do think those who got in on the bottom of the better parts of Atlanta metro will see a capital return of some amount. except If your buying 70 and 80s built inner Atlanta your done, no capital growth for you ever in my opinion.

    However for the OZ investor the idea that whole swaths of houses could be excess inventory and just bulldozed down and have no real functional value is probably hard to accept.. You would not bull doze anything in the SF bay area. or La proper.. Although there are war zones in both….

    The really major issue for OZ investors in my mind is that the US investor has emerged from their hibernation… there was so much hording of cash, that allowed off shore investors to come in and snatch up our properties at all time lows… Good for you   but that ride in my opinonion is coming to an end.. .the US investor is far more concerned about capital preservation than net or gross yeilds that the OZ investor that demands some rediculous ( by us standards return) is going to be relagated to only the high risk properties….. And by high risk I mean that literally 100% of you that invest in these props will walk away from them in the next 10 years just like the litiany of US investors that preceded you.

    end of the day there are far more opportunities than just buying SFR rentals… From what I see there is a lot of cash in OZ that wants to do something out of OZ for whatever reason… There are plenty of good US builder developers that would love to have capital partners… ( of course this is highly risky as well so please do not just jump into bed with any builder developer) however if you can get with good credential folks there will be good opps for you in the coming years.

    construction is coming back… prior to this year I had not had a presold new construction since 08 we personally have 7 right now… And there is nice margin… enough to allow a cash investor to make a No risk investment that will give a great yeild and short term pay back ….

    I think Alex is on to that track

    lastly,,,,  alot of the US companies are holding their inventory they are ALL CoPYING ME!!!! LOL……As in forget flipping to investors keep the properties and bring the investor in as a partner,,, much better for us and way better for the investor, not nearly the risk

    So to that End KEY properties in Atlanta one of the biggest providers of inventory to the OZ and other wholesalers ( 100 props a month) got some long term financing and they cut off all their OZ resellers and others…… they are keeping them.. .Just like my program….. We have opened in 2 more markets so we are in 5 now … closed 19 in april and will shoot for 20 to 30 a month going forward… And if I can ever get alex on board that will grow farther…… And all perfectly legal no selling a security and or guranteeing rent which is illegal in the US.. major securities vioaltions that one… .

    Nighty night.

    I think I have maybe a few more post in me then I am going to sign off of this site….I think we have done a nice job helping folks and hopefully keeping some from making a big boo boo……

    I will let Lawys et al carry the torch… Just from my perspective this audiance is lucky to have him informing you on the contrarian view point. and as he and I have conversed I can assure you his assets in the US are top notch and the envy of any investor,,any one would be proud to own his portfolio….I have conversed with Emma,,,, she can help you as well as she speaks your language regarding prop managment……At least for those who frequent this site and hopefully get enough info to take pause and try to do their own due diligence,,,,,, many small investors have been saved from a bad day.

    Best to all of you

    Jay Hinrichs
    Portland Oregon

    JLH

    Profile photo of viccactviccact
    Member
    @viccact
    Join Date: 2012
    Post Count: 1

    Hi jay,

    I’m only new to the site but may be moving to Washington State in the next 6 to 12 months. I would love to seek your advice on property (both buying a home and IP’s) if you would be willing to educate a beginner some time.

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