PropertyInvesting.com | WinstonWolfe | Activity https://www.propertyinvesting.com/members/winstonwolfe/activity/ Activity feed for WinstonWolfe. Sun, 12 Apr 2026 16:50:54 +0000 https://buddypress.org/?v=2.8.1 en-US 30 hourly 2 78fbe6293d790c53da06680d1b656b93 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum kong71286 wrote:And with https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/page/2/#post-4636857 Mon, 07 Mar 2011 03:00:42 +0000 kong71286 wrote:
And with many experts predicting +$50 this year I am very excited about being part of this BULL market

Yup Silver has been a bullet for 7 months. Expect some buying opportunities during significant pullbacks (if you are confident it will run in the medium to long term). I too prefer the more nimble investment opportunities…[Read more]

]]> 86a38a85468239f24d8b958b7e6f1944 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum Hi Beedie, I doubt I'll go https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/page/2/#post-4636855 Sun, 06 Mar 2011 13:26:24 +0000 Hi Beedie, I doubt I'll go to Steve's market update in Brisbane on March 9. I honestly don't see any data that changes my earlier views. I am not interested in passive property investing currently because I don't think future CG or yields will be competitive against other investments.Jason, there's undoubtedly regional opportunities due to…[Read more]

]]> d16a5b0ae7e38dfc04d92dcf1a1d4948 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Somersoft - recent moderation goings on in the forum AUSPROP wrote:oh is this https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401930-somersoft-recent-moderation-goings-on/page/2/#post-4636484 Sat, 01 Jan 2011 13:11:06 +0000 AUSPROP wrote:
oh is this where everyone has gone. maybe Dazz could be enticed back here…. full circle

Hey AP. No, not everyone came here. Only me it seems. I think Bill.L posted on the new Australian Property Forum a while back.Dazz isn't active anywhere I am aware of….probably off building his real world empire. And Sunfish is back on…[Read more]

]]> 45d045841ba462c11c758c93a673f632 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Somersoft - recent moderation goings on in the forum Opinionated! https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401930-somersoft-recent-moderation-goings-on/#post-4636481 Wed, 29 Dec 2010 21:40:04 +0000 Hi Mr Michael. In 2011, I'll continue to read widely and deeply on what really drives house prices, and post about it. I want to come to a better understanding of money, credit supply, and the effects of banking deregulation.  Several at Somersoft (High Equity, Tom) had reasonable insight, but imho fell into the trap of thinking that foreign…[Read more]

]]> a3f72c1beb4fece35984c07800c478cf WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum What's happening with https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/page/2/#post-4636852 Wed, 29 Dec 2010 11:08:56 +0000 What's happening with housing supply??? Well, – NSW cannot beat pre 2004 levels. – Vic is still rising, thanks to greenfields being released after the govt did a 180. – Qld is still down after being kicked by GFC. – SA is busy providing houses for all the locals who are now not moving to Qld. – WA is falling off a cliff for the second time in 3…[Read more]

]]> 06fd8f1e516a030591cd18bb53a5e61e WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/#post-4636850 Wed, 08 Dec 2010 13:18:06 +0000 Housing Finance CommitmentsThe trends for Qld and WA are a lot weaker than NSW and Vic. Qld commitments have dropped to 2001 levels and WA to 2000 levels. The decrease in commitments since preGFC are:NSW 27.5%, Vic 13%, Qld 33%, WA 31%

]]> 7b7631d6f568187e6b13a40d4d22ca28 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/#post-4636849 Sat, 04 Dec 2010 09:23:06 +0000 Charts from Aussie Macro MomentsTotal listings is quite revelatory regarding the weakness in the Qld market. Considering the smaller population, Qld now has more listings than Vic and NSW. I'd say this has something to do with the discretionary nature of the Sunshine, Gold and Fraser Coast markets, and the more recent weakness in Brisbane.There's…[Read more]

]]> 82ddfc2454509b9239fb43e80d12e01f WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/#post-4636848 Sat, 04 Dec 2010 09:11:25 +0000 All charts from RPData Qld and WA lead the fall in building approvals. Has to be due to  the banks not wanting to lend in Bris and Perth moreso. If prices stay flat or fall, at least rental yields improve quicker. FHB activity is stronger in some states than others. In order of strength : Vic, WA, NSW, Qld, Tas, SA, NT, ACTPopulation Growth…[Read more]

]]> 7d6b275248f008d617cb8a40e6e8008a WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/#post-4636847 Thu, 02 Dec 2010 01:33:26 +0000 Beedie, of course, the best fiction is based on true life  :) I can see the govt will eventually yet again have to intervene to stop house prices dropping dramatically in a short period…..presumably when foreign credit contracts, even moderately. ….that means another govt backed guarantee for Aussie bank foreign borrowing. Socialize the losses,…[Read more]

]]> 4e7747515e940b144f4775e0781afc16 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/#post-4636845 Wed, 01 Dec 2010 12:39:45 +0000 beedie wrote:
WW I have a strong suspicion that we already there my friend …… from my own and my different contacts personal experience with properties on the market at present  For any one interested  have a look on this site. It’s a guide to days on the market  http://www.refindhouseprices.com/

Thanks Beedie. I suspect you are right t…[Read more]

]]> 4669027bc4383777028c602acba38a93 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/#post-4636842 Tue, 30 Nov 2010 05:17:29 +0000 Dan42 wrote:
The 'Housing Commitments v IR' is really interesting. Goes to show that it prices could be severely affected without huge rate rises. Next year should be very interesting, especially if rates rise as predicted.Thx Dan. I should have put median prices on the same chart. I think what the 2004-2007 anomaly represents is the further…[Read more]

]]> dac83f0997aa664d887f23eb64815381 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/#post-4636840 Mon, 29 Nov 2010 20:02:06 +0000 When Australia's premier skin in the game property permabull Chris Joye changes his tack (from ever upwards), you have to believe the market isn't going up in the near future. Some of his recent charts showing the market has flatlined. I don't know of any free data showing cap city 'time on the market' (and REAs are secretive about such things) so…[Read more]

]]> 865fb561a768a94fb68520b6565202ee WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/#post-4636839 Mon, 29 Nov 2010 19:11:48 +0000 This is an interesting chart of housing finance commitments and the standard variable interest rate inverted. I've inverted the rate to more clearly highlight the negative correlation between rates  and prices, that is prices move down when rates move up. Interestingly, the green shaded area of the early noughties, is the only sustained period of…[Read more]

]]> 27f54b7e99de6ef9d54d058e3312ab07 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/#post-4636838 Mon, 29 Nov 2010 19:06:21 +0000 Note the unprecedented higher frequency and amplitude of negative month on month growth in Brisbane's median value. It might be expected considering the unprecedented growth in the early noughties and that prices have to eventually revert to average debt serviceability and wage growth.

]]> bb04c461dc29ac34e5be409baf26fc4b WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Winston's Charts in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401984-winstons-charts/#post-4636835 Fri, 26 Nov 2010 07:45:44 +0000 thx beedie. I see cap city property growth averaging  -5% to 5% pa in nominal terms over the next 5 years. will all depend on cost of foreign credit, which I expect to tighten eventually. But that doesn't mean I am a permabear. I'll be keeping an eye out for distressed sellers, particularly on Somersoft forum, and buying something that adds…[Read more]

]]> fc059e8b114b3bdbe9a1fa4661965026 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Somersoft - recent moderation goings on in the forum Opinionated! https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401930-somersoft-recent-moderation-goings-on/#post-4636478 Fri, 26 Nov 2010 07:18:12 +0000 Thanks Ben, appreciate you saying that. And hello LR. Good to see you here keeping the b's honest. Yes, KeithJ, Sim, and puppet cheer squad must be smurking loudly after finally getting rid of another motley crew of independent researchers / thinkers incapable of mindlessly ramping property. Their Lord and Master has taught them well – "It doesn't…[Read more]

]]> 7e9f17a840f3a71ad76199907de74ab0 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Somersoft - recent moderation goings on in the forum Opinionated! https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401930-somersoft-recent-moderation-goings-on/#post-4636475 Sun, 21 Nov 2010 12:01:31 +0000 beedie wrote:
Agree in the fast turnover approach  WW  need to keep the momentum going good times or bad otherwise we do nothing…. and experience tells us doing nothing produces nothing…agree beedie……..and early birds get the worm….so always ear to the ground re infrastructure changes. a savvy active investor shouldn't see any sur…[Read more]

]]> d6122ac7c80ee43e9dd8d71c17b8018e WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Somersoft - recent moderation goings on in the forum Opinionated! https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401930-somersoft-recent-moderation-goings-on/#post-4636473 Sun, 21 Nov 2010 02:35:32 +0000 Qlds007 wrote:
I do agree however i think the opportunities will increase if you hang and wait your time with a few more rate increases.

Thanks Richard. Fast turnover will be the first thing we'll be looking at  next year, maybe a quick corner lot boundary  realignment and flick, uncomplicated by a slide. low risk low cost stuff.  They se…[Read more]

]]> cbe3c6c6e2acef03f74087270db7e7f4 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Somersoft - recent moderation goings on in the forum Opinionated! https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401930-somersoft-recent-moderation-goings-on/#post-4636469 Fri, 19 Nov 2010 10:43:51 +0000 Yes I am in Brisbane. The slow down seems to have been more pronounced and early here than Syd, Cbr, Mel. Be interesting to see how things unfold in the next few months nationally.

]]> a5ec8091c61de19447792546297402b5 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Somersoft - recent moderation goings on in the forum Opinionated! https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4401930-somersoft-recent-moderation-goings-on/#post-4636467 Fri, 19 Nov 2010 04:55:24 +0000 duckster wrote:
Winston – People (the herd) only know that Property only goes up –

Yes, a lot of people (especially over at Somersoft) are punch drunk on the last 10 years of growth.I wouldn't touch a Brisbane site that could not be developed substantially (unbeknownst to the vendor) at the moment. Listings in Brisbane have gone up on average…[Read more]

]]> 6eaede20340bc0b2bc161ff4bc877c91 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic The best way to start in property: Buying a Home or a Property Investment? in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4392366-the-best-way-to-start-in-property-buying-a-home-or-a-property-investment/#post-4583014 Sun, 09 Mar 2008 15:55:37 +0000 creany wrote:
Evening Bravo,A little while back I was in a similar position with a choice of buying one or two IP's and renting with similar money. After seeing an accountant he gave me the advice of putting all my money into a PPOR and borrowing equity out of PPOR for the first IP. The first thing is he stated you need a roof over your head…[Read more]

]]> 0af91b8f7534ecbcbf55eceff01504d6 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic spray painting in the forum Value Adding https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4385203-spray-painting/#post-4546181 Thu, 10 May 2007 15:49:13 +0000 great info everyone…thx. recently spent a week painting the outside of a new 90m2 hardiplank fibre cement country retreat. belongs to a friend.painted with brushes as he is an old building inspector, and didn't want spray. did two coats of the finish colour. water based trade paint.the hardiplank first coat really soaks it up. but second coat…[Read more]

]]> 115c0dbd66e109d26faf517385610b26 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Property bust not here yet ... worse to come in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4385726-property-bust-not-here-yet-worse-to-come/page/16/#post-4548732 Fri, 23 Mar 2007 13:45:53 +0000 Concur with what you say above….but never underestimate the bank’s sly dog tricks to squeeze the last drop out of the common folk….Ponzi ain’t happy till he has sucked the last dollar out….consider these ways to keep house prices moving up….

– increase term of loan above 30 years. i.e. intergenerational loan.

– shared equity loan…[Read more]

]]> 9057baecbaf95f9b8ca4ec28a184eae4 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Property bust not here yet ... worse to come in the forum No Subject https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4385726-property-bust-not-here-yet-worse-to-come/page/16/#post-4548729 Thu, 22 Mar 2007 11:35:48 +0000 some good arguments in this thread…which has been going for 9 mths…..

these words from Saul Eslake recently add further clarity to what drove the last boom.

http://www.theage.com.au/news/business/the-great-australian-struggle/2007/03/08/1173166895673.html
“Although the borrowing capacity of buyers had more than trebled in the past 15 years,…[Read more]

]]> 1cb9229814d7cca8e228fef8b625a8ef WinstonWolfe replied to the topic housing shortage 1000 people a week into qld in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4387305-housing-shortage-1000-people-a-week-into-qld/#post-4556910 Wed, 15 Nov 2006 08:42:04 +0000 Thanks for posting that stuff Macca. I often refer southerners to it when arguing that they continue to shift their welfare burden to Qld.

Qld has a long history of receiving southern welfare class and retirees. And why not…better to be unemployed or old, in the sunshine and warmth, then somewhere cold and wet.

In the last 15 years, there was…[Read more]

]]> d2e233f1a18b8afc6518547abf40e508 WinstonWolfe replied to the topic HOW MANY OFFERS ARE WE MAKING in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4386537-how-many-offers-are-we-making/#post-4553288 Tue, 22 Aug 2006 10:58:05 +0000 Originally posted by Dr.X:
We haven’t had too much success with letter drops either, most people are so disensitised to advertising, it takes several repeats to get any kind of response.

We’ve had a 2% success out of 10,000 letter drops done over several months. [biggrin]

Investment Property Management
http://www.adprop.com.au

Dr.X, can you expand…[Read more]

]]> 08ff1eb9abe2880b28fd9d3050c206de WinstonWolfe replied to the topic Property bust not here yet ... worse to come in the forum General Property https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4385726-property-bust-not-here-yet-worse-to-come/page/2/#post-4548456 Sat, 24 Jun 2006 15:00:41 +0000 Just like to add my 2 cents worth regarding cycles.

Many talk of cycles as if they are a cert.
However, rarely does one find analysis of cycles extending back into the 19th century. And continuity of cycles depends much on many economic and political variables remaining constant.

There are many variables not remaining constant these days- i.e.…[Read more]

]]>