All Topics / General Property / What do we make of this?

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  • Profile photo of Dan42Dan42
    Join Date: 2008
    Post Count: 619

    Average House prices have risen in the March quarter, according to this report in the SMH.

    Profile photo of IP FreelyIP Freely
    Join Date: 2008
    Post Count: 353

    The movement in the stats can be put down to a number of issues in the market:

    1. FHBG runs out in June pushing up prices for houses/units in the <$500k bracket (artificial stimulus which has brought forward demand and supported prices)
    2. Properties above FHB range esp in the more expensive areas did not feel the turndown which was experienced in the cheaper end of the market until much later in the cycle ie Sydney's prestige market is now feeling the price correction as these people were able to hold off selling for much longer than others in the market.
    Profile photo of WJ HookerWJ Hooker
    Join Date: 2007
    Post Count: 272

                 Lots of things contribute to an every increasing push on house prices.
    As IP Freely mentions above.
    But also, inflation gradually increases the prices and cost run up over time
    bigger and bigger houses and extensions all increase average prices cost of land development with government costs.
    wages slowly increasing mean more money available

    rates have dropped to what 30 year lows at the moment, thus more money can be loaned for same wages
    more and more people are buying as tenants in common so they can afford more expensive houses.

    Basically, everything is in favour at the moment of large house price increases, BUT, house prices are basically flat and negetive over the last 4 years taking inflation into account.

    So what is going to happen over the next year or so with unemployment starting to bite, probablility of rate increases, nil or very little wage increases, debt biting into most peoples incomes, etc. Government going broke thus will need to increase rates on everything, power costs surging, water prices surging, council rates surging, food prices surging, etc

    Thus I would expect some small price rises now and then , but prices to fall over the next year or two.

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