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  • Profile photo of wealth4life.comwealth4life.com
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    Hello all investors,

    For all those share traders out there can you tell me what sites you monitor … Huntleys or eTrade or any good suggestions please

    D

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    Dear Wealth4life,

    Do you think anyone can predict the share market?

    Honest question, not meaning to be rude.

    The reason I ask this question, is because its amazing how many financial advisors and stock brokers out there who have never traded themselves, yet are some how experts to give others advise.

    Kind Regards,
    Mark Leith
    Property Advocate
    Global Buyers Agent
    http://www.buyersagent.com.au

    Profile photo of Mortgage HunterMortgage Hunter
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    I have never met a stockbroker who didn't invest himself in stocks.  Of course trading is a specialised subset of the stockmarket and I sure hope there are brokers who don't trade.

    I think your post is a whopping generalisation that is impossible to substantiate even if it was remotely true.

    Of course noone can predict movement 100% but a trader needs to be right just 30% of the time to make a decent profit.  Even this is difficult to do but clearly not impossible.

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    Dear Morgage Hunter,

    I agree it is a generalisation and most stock brokers and financial planners (I hope) trade themselves.

    However, for those who don't trade they are not exactly going to be upfront about it.

    I have a lot of friends who work in banks as financial planners and stock brokers and I know for a fact that they dont trade because the type of person who does an accounting or similar degree is usually a person who is not a risk taker.

    PS: If a trader is only right 30% of the time, wouldn't you loose money 70% of the time?

    (Exuse my ignorance, I am sure you have answer to this one)

    Kind Regards,
    Mark Leith
    Property Advocate
    Global Buyers Agent
    http://www.buyersagent.com.au

    Profile photo of ducksterduckster
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    Your question doesn't make sense. Monitor or did you mean subscribe as huntley is a subscribe site. I am using http://www.wise-owl.com.au which is a subscribing site and http://www.rivkin.com.au.
    The most important success factor in the share market is that you have to sell loss making shares rather than fall in love with a share and cut your losses.
    Mistakes are made but dealing with the mistake fast and minimising your loss made is important.

    A very useful program is located at http://www.sharewatch.com.au/ for viewing australian share prices

    Profile photo of Mortgage HunterMortgage Hunter
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    GlobalMark wrote:

    Dear Morgage Hunter,

    PS: If a trader is only right 30% of the time, wouldn't you loose money 70% of the time?

    (Exuse my ignorance, I am sure you have answer to this one)

    Kind Regards,
    Mark Leith
    Property Advocate
    Global Buyers Agent
    http://www.buyersagent.com.au

    Not if you cut the losing trades fast and let the winning trades run as long as the price is going up.

    ie A trader buys five different shares for $1 each.  Four of them drop that day to  20c, 40c, 50c and 60c.  One went up to $1.40.  Pretty volatile shares here!!  Clearly he has lost a packet right?

    But the trader had stoplosses set at 5%.  So his broker sold off the four losers as they hit 95c losing 20c overall.  But the fifth share covered those losses and made another 20c to boot!

    Of course this is a simple and silly example but I made it up just to illustrate that things are not as simple as they look but are not too difficult either.

    Too many of us property guys dismiss shares and funds as being risky, after all this is what grandma told us!

    Profile photo of wealth4life.comwealth4life.com
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    Dear oh dear whats wrong can't you people read,

    I asked for web sites that you use for information … i did not say "that these are the best sites" … i clearly asked for what sites you monitor … Simon i am surprised with your comment go back and read the question and you are the one who made the "generalization"

    Thank you Duckster for your references …

    D

    Profile photo of Mortgage HunterMortgage Hunter
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    wealth4life.com wrote:
    Dear oh dear whats wrong can't you people read,

    I asked for web sites that you use for information … i did not say "that these are the best sites" … i clearly asked for what sites you monitor … Simon i am surprised with your comment go back and read the question and you are the one who made the "generalization"

    Thank you Duckster for your references …

    D

    The reason I ask this question, is because its amazing how many financial advisors and stock brokers out there who have never traded themselves, yet are some how experts to give others advise.

    Kind Regards,
    Mark Leith
    Property Advocate
    Global Buyers Agent
    http://www.buyersagent.com.au

    That was the generalisation I was referring to.  That an amazing amount of stockbrokers do not trade themselves.

    ta

    Profile photo of Mortgage HunterMortgage Hunter
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    wealth4life.com wrote:
    Hello all investors,

    For all those share traders out there can you tell me what sites you monitor … Huntleys or eTrade or any good suggestions please

    D

    The sites I read are as follows:

    http://www.smh.com

    http://www.invested.com.au

    http://www.hotcopper.com.au  (not so much any more)

    newsletters from http://www.motivatedmoney.com.au and several others accumulated over the years

    http://www.asx.com.au

    These are just off the top of my head.

    When you say monitor what exactly do you mean?  Forums?  Paid newletters?  News services?  Online Brokers?  Traders Blogs?  Education sites?  There are an awful lot out there.

    Hope you find what you are after.

    Profile photo of wealth4life.comwealth4life.com
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    Thanks Simon,

    I mean there are a few i look at constantly like huntleys and etrade but was wondering what others look at and why … i should have expanded my post but in between work and all i get a little ahead of myself  … also do you loot at charts or rely on day to day news to determine future changes.

    Yes there are a lot out there but i'm interested in the top 10% that most people feel give the best across the board information.

    God can you believe BHP wow !!!

    D

    Profile photo of bjozefbjozef
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    If you havn't done so already check out the ASX website, specifically the online education facilities. They are interactive and informative and a great way to expand your trading knowledge.

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    Mortgage Hunter wrote:
    GlobalMark wrote:

    Dear Morgage Hunter,

    PS: If a trader is only right 30% of the time, wouldn't you loose money 70% of the time?

    (Exuse my ignorance, I am sure you have answer to this one)

    Kind Regards,
    Mark Leith
    Property Advocate
    Global Buyers Agent
    http://www.buyersagent.com.au

    Not if you cut the losing trades fast and let the winning trades run as long as the price is going up.

    ie A trader buys five different shares for $1 each.  Four of them drop that day to  20c, 40c, 50c and 60c.  One went up to $1.40.  Pretty volatile shares here!!  Clearly he has lost a packet right?

    But the trader had stoplosses set at 5%.  So his broker sold off the four losers as they hit 95c losing 20c overall.  But the fifth share covered those losses and made another 20c to boot!

    Of course this is a simple and silly example but I made it up just to illustrate that things are not as simple as they look but are not too difficult either.

    Too many of us property guys dismiss shares and funds as being risky, after all this is what grandma told us!

    Dear Morgage Hunter,

    Your description sounds like a bookie on a day at the horses.

    I think I will stick to property, mainly because I dont understand shares.

    PS: My grandma died before I was born.

    Kind Regards,
    Mark Leith
    Property Advocate
    Global Buyers Agent
    http://www.buyersagent.com.au

    Profile photo of Mortgage HunterMortgage Hunter
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    As long as you understand that your ignorance has made you decide to turn your back on a legitimate source of wealth that many people invest in.  Most people if you include Superannuation.  A form of security that underpins the economy.

    of course your other choice is to do a little reading and make an informed choice.

    What I described was trading and only in response to an earlier post. 

    I personally invest in high yielding tax effective income streams.  Some of which are positive geared.    Does that sound more attractive?

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    Dear Morgage Hunter,

    I guess each to their own, I like to buy properties that are set and forget. I like to idea of going overseas for a few years and coming back to my porfolio having grown with little or no attention.

    On the other hand from what you and others have told me you really need to keep tabs on shares on a regular basis and unless you have a passion for shares this would seem like a lot of hard work.

    However, for someone like yourself it would be a lot of fun.

    Keep it up and I hope you continue to create a lot of wealth by investing in shares.

    Perhaps when I am old and I can no longer leave the computer I will be more interested in playing the stock market.

    Kind Regards,
    Mark Leith
    Property Advocate
    Global Buyers Agent
    http://www.buyersagent.com.au

    Profile photo of Mortgage HunterMortgage Hunter
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    GlobalMark wrote:

    On the other hand from what you and others have told me you really need to keep tabs on shares on a regular basis and unless you have a passion for shares this would seem like a lot of hard work.

    Another assumption. 

    I haven't sold a share for over five years.

    I buy high yielding companies that have a history of tax effective dividend growth and capital growth and hold them.

    I check them every month or so out of curiosity.  Certainly that is easily done from anywhere in the world.  In fact if being OS is a concern then you would find shares easier than property to keep tabs on and effect decisions on than property.

    Perhaps it is my advanced years but you seem to have a pretty solid bias against a major asset class that my posts will not be able to budge.

    I reckon choosing one asset class over another is like trying to play the white keys only on a piano.  You wil make a tune but wont achieve the best results.

    Maybe when you are as ancient as myself you might take a look at them.  I hope you don't kick yourself then. 

    As my last word on the suject I will include an article that some people have found illuminating. 

    Lastly let me ask you…  Do you have a passion for property or a passion for making money?  Mine is the latter.

    Good luck to you mate. 

    Many investors are dyed in the wool property investors collecting a portfolio of positive or negative geared properties to fund retirement – hopefully earlier retirement if we choose well.

     

    I am of a firm believer that the markets are cyclical having been through three cycles since I began my investment journey in 1989.  I hope that the younger readers might take some heed of what I have seen and be better placed to enjoy the next boom than I was for the last few.  If people tell you “That this time it is different” do not believe them.  It is never different!

     

    The aim of this article is to compare the stock market to the property market.  I will be using Managed Funds as my example as they equate to a parcel of well selected stocks rather than individual stocks.  Individual stocks may not follow the actual market closely however if diversified into a pool of stocks we can use the effect of a boom to our advantage.

     

    I am also writing for the “Buy and Hold” investor who collects assets and holds them for the long term believing that “time in” the market is easier than attempting to “Time” the market as a trader might.

     

    Property Investors buy properties when the market is less buoyant, when it is a buyers market – as I suspect we are at in today’s cycle.  The majority buy when they are confident of the market.  They are confident because all their friends and the media claim the market is hot and profits are being made.  Some will make profits but many will time it wrong, buy at the peak and watch their investment stagnate or fall.  Fortunately for some, they will not realise any loss unless they attempt to sell.  As the property market is less liquid many people prefer to buy and hold – in this respect time will heal most poor decisions.

     

    The seasoned investor will buy when demand is low.  He will have his choice of the market and will be able to buy when he feels a vendor is motivated to accept his lower offer.  He will hold his property for the medium to long term and either let time increase his value and/or he will add value in a number of ways such as renovations, development, subdivision etc.

     

    Why hold all your assets in one class with just the one boom every 7-11 years?

     

    I propose that we can treat the stock market in much the same way.  Buying on weakness and allowing time to add value to our portfolio.  Unfortunately there is little we can do to add value ourselves.

     

    Imagine buying a $200K managed fund as opposed to buying a $200K property.  We have exposure to a different market cycle which means that we can be buying in either market on the downturns of the cycle and thus extending the “buying season”.

     

    One can gear into the equity market much like properties.  Although the interest rate is fractionally higher (8ish% as opposed to 7ish% currently) it is actually a far easier loan to get with lending being assessed on the stock or fund being purchased and the deposit raised.  Your income is not assessed.

     

    Thus with a stock “rated” at 70% as most blue chips are, for every $30K you have you may buy $100K worth of stock or managed funds.   This compares favourably to the 20% – 80% ratio of non LMI property lending.  Buying costs are lower with the abolition of stamp duty on stocks and agents fees can be reduced by using an online broker.

     

    Going back to my earlier example – one can buy a $200K Managed Fund for no upfront fee, no mortgage application fee, no inspection fees, legal costs or stamp duty.  Normally with an IP one allows 5% to cover these costs.

     

    Minimum deposit required is $60K.  Repayments are as for a LOC and a minimum might be around $1080 pm.  However this may be capitalised as long as the overall equity position remains under that specified for the fund.

     

    Other advantages include ease of sale.  MF may be sold in approx 24 hours with low fees compared to a property being marketed with a 3% sales fee plus legal costs etc.

     

    Whilst this may sound like I am comparing MF favourably to property I am not.  I am merely suggesting that one should seek to be able to buy in both markets. 

     

    Management fees are less with the MF and there are no tenancy issues.  Although a property may provide a lucrative Depreciation Schedule one should also remember that Managed Fund distributions may have franking credits attached which also give taxation relief to the owner.  A franking credit is basically a tax credit that comes with the share to recognise that the company paying that dividend has already paid tax at the rate of 30% on its income.

     

    One major advantage of property is that, with LMI, one may actually gear into it with as small as a 5% deposit.  The property is not revalued by the lender and as long as the borrower makes his repayments he can be assured of keeping the property.  However should one gear the maximum into equities then a fall in value could see the lender requesting further funds or selling part of the holding to address the imbalance to the equity position.  I personally choose to only gear to 50% to allow a large buffer before this might happen.  To my advantage is the liquidity which means that I can reduce my holdings when I suspect that the share market boom is at an end and have my portfolio at a healthier position in preparation for a buying season.

     

    So perhaps a portfolio can have several properties and then several holdings in Managed Funds or Blue Chip shares.

     

    I have not described Speculative shares here as I do not feel they can be likened to property.  There is certainly a place for them but only with amounts one can lose without stress to the financial situation.

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    Dear Morgage Hunter (Shameless reapting of your Bussiness Name),

    Simon I really enjoyed reading your post, most informative. I would certainly consider investing in shares in the future.

    It's a matter of risk vs return:

    1) I have lost count of the amount of people who have joined our Buyers Agency that have lost money playing the stock market.
    (probably because they traded when they shouldnt have, but all the same)

    2) I have lost count of the amount of people who have made millions from investing in property.

    I think ultimately that your strategy will make you a lot more money because you will be getting gains in two asset classes.

    However, you asked me the question "…do I have a passion for property or making money…"

    Well I have to say that my first passion is for property and my second passion is for making money.

    Some people like buying shoes, I am addicted to buying houses.

    Currently, I am 27 years old and I have 7 Investment Properties, I am now sitting on about 1.7 Million dollars in property. I want to continue to invest in property at the current rate of 2 or 3 properties per year and if I was to start investing in shares I fear that my attention and buying power would be divided.

    Kind Regards,
    Mark Leith
    Property Advocate
    Global Buyers Agent
    http://www.buyersagent.com.au

    Profile photo of Mortgage HunterMortgage Hunter
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    Some fair points there and better reasons than it sounds like going to the races.

    Investing and trading are worlds apart.  In fact I will just leave a quote here which I use to remind myself why I choose not to trade.

    "The Stockmarket exists to move wealth from the impatient to the patient."

    If you ever get the urge to do some learning on equities investing (not trading) I would encourage you to read the book Motivated Money by Peter Thornhill which can be bought online at http://www.motivatedmoney.com.au  he explains buy and hold investing far more eloquently than I.

    Ciao,

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    Dear Morgage Hunter,

    No worries, thanks for the tips.

    Over and out.

    Kind Regards,
    Mark Leith
    Property Advocate
    Global Buyers Agent
    http://www.buyersagent.com.au

    Profile photo of Tysonboss1Tysonboss1
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    GlobalMark wrote:

    Dear Morgage Hunter,

    I agree it is a generalisation and most stock brokers and financial planners (I hope) trade themselves.

    However, for those who don't trade they are not exactly going to be upfront about it.

    I have a lot of friends who work in banks as financial planners and stock brokers and I know for a fact that they dont trade because the type of person who does an accounting or similar degree is usually a person who is not a risk taker.

    PS: If a trader is only right 30% of the time, wouldn't you loose money 70% of the time?

    (Exuse my ignorance, I am sure you have answer to this one)

    Kind Regards,
    Mark Leith
    Property Advocate
    Global Buyers Agent
    http://www.buyersagent.com.au

    If some one is trading shares it means they are buying and selling regularly to try and beat the ups and downs of the market, most Share investors are not share traders they do not use this stratergy they buy + Hold much like property investors only a very small amount of the total shares out there are traded regularly the rest sit locked up in super funds and private portfolios for years,

    Secondly what the hell does an accounting degree have to do with stock broking,

    Profile photo of Tysonboss1Tysonboss1
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    GlobalMark wrote:

    Dear Morgage Hunter,

    I guess each to their own, I like to buy properties that are set and forget. I like to idea of going overseas for a few years and coming back to my porfolio having grown with little or no attention.

    On the other hand from what you and others have told me you really need to keep tabs on shares on a regular basis and unless you have a passion for shares this would seem like a lot of hard work.

    However, for someone like yourself it would be a lot of fun.

    Keep it up and I hope you continue to create a lot of wealth by investing in shares.

    Perhaps when I am old and I can no longer leave the computer I will be more interested in playing the stock market.

    Kind Regards,
    Mark Leith
    Property Advocate
    Global Buyers Agent
    http://www.buyersagent.com.au

    there are hundreds of set and forget safe stocks with could dividend pay out,… they also take alot less work to manage as world class directors are managing them,…. rather the exhusted property managers.

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