All Topics / General Property / Brisbane market

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  • Profile photo of LancehaterLancehater
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    @lancehater
    Join Date: 2008
    Post Count: 19

    When is Brisbane going to get decent capital growth? Surely it has to start soon. It has been a slow 5 years and shouldn't investors now see Brisvegas as the next big thing, as it is a lot cheaper than its southern neighbours

    Profile photo of Jamie MooreJamie Moore
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    @jamie-m
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 5,069

    Hi Kylie

    It seems to be heating up a bit now. My understanding from dealing with clients buying in the area and talking to other professionals on the ground is that there's a lack of quality stock on the market – so the supply isn't meeting the demand.

    Cheers

    Jamie

    Jamie Moore | Pass Go Home Loans Pty Ltd
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    Profile photo of Dave WardDave Ward
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    @dave-ward
    Join Date: 2004
    Post Count: 37

    Hi Kylie,

    There are a few amazing opportunities in the Brisbane market at present, and of course now is a prime opportunity to get in as there are still quite a number of apprehensive people about the region. Fundamentally there are a few extraordinary x-factors that make the Brisbane market a prime target for investment right now and some of those are:

    Redevelopment of the RNA show grounds in Fortitude Valley ($2.9 Bn redevelopment – currently in progress)

    Proximity to the Brisbane CBD

    Multi-national businesses moving from the Brisbane CBD to the inner fringe of the CBD (cheaper rents, and placing themselves in a position to capitalize on the gentrification of Bowen Hills/Fortitude Valley)

    Upgrade of the East – West Arterial Road to the Airport reducing commute times to the airport from the Brisbane CBD significantly

    5000 additional employees to be put on at the Brisbane Airport in the next 10 years

    Upgrades and expansion of the Royal Brisbane & Womens Hospital – 7000 additional employees to be put on in the next 5 years

    Infrastructure upgrades to inner city rail stations

    An abundance of educational facilities (uni's & schools) within a 5km radius of the CBD

    The price point of many units in the Brisbane CBD that enable SMSF investors to comfortably buy into the area as investors ($400,000 purchase allows a SMSF with $120,000 to buy in)

    Strategically, I think Bowen Hills or Fortitude Valley are the best suburbs in that area to take advantage of these fundamentals over the next 5 to 10 years. The areas are perfectly located in relation to the RNA show ground redevelopment, proximity to the Brisbane CBD (1km), Proximity to all forms of transport (rail, bus and ferry), proximity to multitudes of employment, proximity to educational facilities and access to the airport. In fact you can't get into the Brisbane CBD without going through Bowen Hills and Fortitude Valley (if you are driving). Given that the airport will employ so many people in the coming decade, these areas will become prime targets for employees to reside.

    From an investment perspective, the area is really a no-brainer over the long term (think Redfern in Sydney 10 years ago vs now).

    Lastly, at present Fortitude Valley is currently considered an ugly duckling making it the perfect time to be buying in. Once the RNA development starts to come to fruition and people realize what amenities are available at their doorstep, the prices will move reasonably quickly. 

    Dave Ward | Geronimo Finance
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    Profile photo of Nigel KibelNigel Kibel
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    @nigel-kibel
    Join Date: 2005
    Post Count: 1,425

    I agree with David and Jamie

    The market has been undervalued for along time. When you consider that you can buy an apartment within 5km of the city for around $450,000 consider what you would pay for the same distance from Melbourne or Sydney.   Since the Federal election billions of dollars have been pouring into Australia. I think that as we see confidence improve Brisbane will do well.

    Nigel Kibel | Property Know How
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    Profile photo of FreckleFreckle
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    @freckle
    Join Date: 2012
    Post Count: 1,680

    Brisbane isn't going anywhere soon. There's no economic driver to underpin any sort of meaningful resurgence. Performance will rotate closely around the mean.

    Houses up units down for the time being.

    There will be the odd hotspot as there always is and the occasional larger region within the city that will produce a few headlines for a while but in terms of medium to long term performance Brisbane is not likely to set the world on fire.

    Previous growth spurts haven't shown to be sustainable and over all averages are anemic. Qld is largely a resource exporter. Given resource sector growth has now ceased and is trying to consolidate in slow growth over supplied markets all the economic pressure currently being exerted is negative. This shake out should peak around mid to late 2014. It's unlikely though that the LNP will be able to trigger alternative economic activity to replace the vacuum left behind by the resource sector contraction. That doesn't bode well for Qld in the short to medium term at least. 2015/16 could see quite tough conditions as federal and state governments try to keep growth above 2%.

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