All Topics / Creative Investing / is anyone investing in rural towns!

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  • Profile photo of blingbling81blingbling81
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    @blingbling81
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    just wondering if anyone is investing in rural towns as im looking at a positive cashflow property  but need some advice as if it is worth it in the long run with litle capital gains in the areaa. its $80000 and rents for $150 wk  but 9% growth where as i have found another one for $160000 and renting for $200 wk but 12%growth which would be better in the long run?
    thank you im only new to this and have 1 rental and a block of land

    Profile photo of DWolfeDWolfe
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    @dwolfe
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    If you do a quick search you will find a whole thread on this. I personally have 1 so far in a rural town in VIC, I have found some others in NSW that I would be very happy to buy. If you are happy with the return go with it. As far a CG goes, about 10 yrs ago property  was for sale in a tiny, tiny town called Heyfield in Vic for about $24,000. This property went up about 3-4 yrs later to $78k I just did a search just then and it is from $125k-190k. So you can't tell me that CG don't come if you wait long enough. Shame I didn't have 24k back then!

    D

    DWolfe | www.homestagers.com.au
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    Profile photo of TerrywTerryw
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    There is no point in investing without capital growth. Repairs will eat all of your measly profits.

    Terryw | Structuring Lawyers Pty Ltd / Loan Structuring Pty Ltd
    http://www.Structuring.com.au
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    Lawyer, Mortgage Broker and Tax Advisor (Sydney based but advising Aust wide) http://www.Structuring.com.au

    Profile photo of DWolfeDWolfe
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    Profile photo of Ryan McLeanRyan McLean
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    @ryan-mclean
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    @ TerryW – That is a HUGE assumption to make! and more importantly is completely untrue. You never know what capital gains are going to be. I wouldn’t personally invest in a town that was declining rapidly in population, but I would never rule out a rural property just because you think capital gains are going to be better elsewhere.

    Think about this, what can you afford more? 10 properties worth $100,000 each that put $100/month into your pocket, or one $400,000 property that costs you $1,000/month?

    What do you get my CG’s on?
    10x$100,000 properties earning 4% capital gains = $40,000/year
    1x$400,000 property earning 8% capital gains = $32,000/year

    Rural towns can actually help you afford more property and therefore get more overall capital gains, even if the percentage capital gains is less.

    Ryan McLean
    http://CashFlowInvestor.com.au
    Positive Cash Flow Properties Are Just A Click Away

    Ryan McLean | On Property
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    Profile photo of DWolfeDWolfe
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    Hey Terry,

    Wanna see me eat my hat? I have to say I have spent some money on repairs (oh shush!) I am using this property as a speculative property to see if I can still make a good capital gain. I will wait probably about 18 mths –  2 yrs and then flog it off after the free way is built. The freeway is about halfway there at the moment so we will see. I will keep posting on this regarding my HUGE capital gain or my HUGE hat eating adventure!

    D

    DWolfe | www.homestagers.com.au
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    Profile photo of TerrywTerryw
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    Hi

    I stand by my comments that there is no point without capital growth.
    Think about it. repairs, inflation, opportunity cost.
    eg $100,000 property returning $100 per month = $1200 pa profit.
    Hot water system needs replacing = $1200
    = break even, but no growth to show for it.

    Next year something else needs repairing or breaks. Whats the point?

    But, If you can get high yields plus capital growth = ideal

    Terryw | Structuring Lawyers Pty Ltd / Loan Structuring Pty Ltd
    http://www.Structuring.com.au
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    Lawyer, Mortgage Broker and Tax Advisor (Sydney based but advising Aust wide) http://www.Structuring.com.au

    Profile photo of GrantH_1974GrantH_1974
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    @granth_1974
    Join Date: 2004
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    ryan mcleanWhat do you get my CG's on? 10x$100,000 properties earning 4% capital wrote:

    4% p.a. capital gain is extremely ambitious in towns where you can buy for $100K.
    It's much better for your long term wealth if you buy the best quality asset you can afford.

    Cheers
    Paul

    Profile photo of god_of_moneygod_of_money
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    @god_of_money
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    Ryan, I prefer 1 property worth 500k in Sydney
    rather than 10 properties @50k at coonamble…
    Hate to say that… investing in small rural town is waste of time and money
    unless…. it becomes mining town overnight

    Profile photo of SHalesSHales
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    @shales
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    I live in an outback town of 650 people.  We are 100 km to the next town, and 350km to McDonalds, 500km to Target.

    We purchased our own home here, but have not purchased investment property here.

    My Dad, who is based in Sydney is a trained British Chartered Surveyor, which I think might be similar to a valuer.  His training says that the value of property is linked to the value of the land, plus the value of the building.  The value of the building is the cost to build the building TODAY less the depreciation. 

    This theory very accurately describes the value of housing in our small town.  As building costs rose in regional centres, due to the mining and other booms, as building trades moved to those centres and away from our town, the cost of housing here rose.  Our house we purchased 5 years ago for 110K, and it is now worth approximately 300K and we have carried out about 30K worth of improvements.  Population is very static.

    Great opportunity exists for people who can cheaply build in these towns.  There is no way I would pay market value for an invesment property here  now, but I would consider doing something like buying an ex railway house and relocating here to a vacant block, and tenanting it, then selling as a positively geared investment. 

    In small towns, small changes to the local economy can have a big effect on the local RE market.  For instance, in our town, Council built a recreational lake.  This led to a little boom in Real Estate as wealthy graziers from outside of town purchased houses in town so they could spend the weekend skiing on the lake.  Similarly, when the railway laid off 6 workers, 6 families left town and that caused a housing slump.  The message is, you need to have a very intimate knowledge of the small town in order to make your investment safe.  At the moment, banks are not lending much in towns like this, which is further suppressing values.  When lending policy relaxes a bit more we may see a little surge again.   Interest rates do affect values, but perhaps not as severely as more expensive places.  Values are not likely to grown to mining town levels because the bloke driving the grader for the Council on $60K a year can't afford to pay $500K for his family home.

    Another thing to consider in small town markets is that the average values that you get from RP Data or RE.com are pretty useless.  RE.com confuses our town with a suburb of a larger town and mixes all the values together meaning that the average is way out.  Also, in such a small market, one or two sales which are abnormal for some reason, corrupt the figures immensely.

    Consider this.  A few years ago, our town appeared in the list of Property Investors Mag top capital growth.  The average jumped due to the sale of one particular property which sold for what most people here felt was about $100K too dear.  A year or two later the person who purchased that property sold it to an employee of theres for a $100K loss.  And our town averages fell magnificently and I wouldn't be surpised if we appeared in PIM's list of worst performers for that year, having had 30% wiped off the average.  This has affected lending locally, and values.  The land titles office (or maybe the office of state revenue, not sure) even rang the local council in confusion over the matter.

    Lastly, be aware that building, any sort of trade work, and freight of anything like building materials or large appliances etc in small towns is usually quite expensive and one person may have a monopoly as the local carpenter.  Sometimes there is no professional property manager either.

    have fun.  I'll be putting my money in a larger market.

    S

    Profile photo of sonyasalsonyasal
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    @sonyasal
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    There is a difference between buying in a town with a population of 650 and a town or regional city with a population of 30,000, with strong rental demand and steady or growing employment prospects.

    Sonya

    Profile photo of SHalesSHales
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    @shales
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    sonyasal wrote:
    There is a difference between buying in a town with a population of 650 and a town or regional city with a population of 30,000, with strong rental demand and steady or growing employment prospects.

    Sonya

     
    Naturally.  My observations were quite specific to small towns.

    Profile photo of sonyasalsonyasal
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    @sonyasal
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    Noted. As blingbling has not specified what size town they were looking at i just wanted to clarify that their are some larger regional areas woth looking at.

    cheers

    Sonya

    Profile photo of elliotjlelliotjl
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    @elliotjl
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 12

    blingbling if the percentage of growth you have listed in your initial comment are an average over say 10 years, then your second property choice would be the wiser option at 12%. However if these growth percentages were only taken over that month or even year, then little faith can be placed in these. With property, you want to look at long term growth. ie 5-10 years instead of 2-12 months due to the speed in which property in relation to other investments can be bought or sold. Simple maths (my new best friend) tells me that your $160k property will be worth $224788 in 3 years and your $80k property in the same amount of time will only be worth $103602. A 64k profit is exponentially better than a 23k profit… if you can afford the 160k property. So in 3 years time that's almost 3 times the amout of equity you have available to use in purchasing more property.

    Using a 10% deposit, in 3 years time you'd be able to borrow $640k compared to 230k

    Profile photo of blingbling81blingbling81
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    @blingbling81
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    blingbling81 wrote:
    just wondering if anyone is investing in rural towns as im looking at a positive cashflow property  but need some advice as if it is worth it in the long run with litle capital gains in the areaa. its $80000 and rents for $150 wk  but 9% growth where as i have found another one for $160000 and renting for $200 wk but 12%growth which would be better in the long run?
    thank you im only new to this and have 1 rental and a block of land

    thanks for al your feedback guys! what i mean is in the first house for $80000 it is positivly geared and i can get 2 of these for the price of one $160000 house which means 2 eggs not one i can sell one at any time and i can afford to sit on it because it isnt costing me an arm and a leg where as the other property will cost me more with average return i will have to pay more limiting my lending for better investments but i just wanted too see what everyone said as its a hard decision thank you keep them coming, by the way im talking about dirinbandi and stgeorge which mind you just went under water haha

    Profile photo of SAS BuildingSAS Building
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    @sas-building
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    I have been (for years now), using the income from positive cashflow rural properties to cover the shortfall on high growth inner city properties. No use having a million dollar inner city properties if all you are doing is putting your hand in your pocket to pay for them !

    I do limit my rural towns to those that have 10 000 + population

    Also brush up on your handyman/person skills and do some of the repairs yourself (might need to add a ute / trailer to the equation… and be prepared to spend time travelling to carry out the repairs) or YES as Terry mentioned the local “handyman” will find out you are not local, and the price of repairs will skyrocket… its amazing how fast word travels in these small country towns, if you never go and inspect yourself NO MATTER HOW ‘GOOD’ YOUR PROPERTY MANAGER IS !

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