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  • Profile photo of kerwynkerwyn
    Member
    @kerwyn
    Join Date: 2004
    Post Count: 145

    Hi All
    Here is a little article I found on another forum that all you doom and gloomers out there can get your teeth into. It will certainly have you hiding under your beds for a while.
    Kerwyn.

    Declining Energy Reserves and Economic Downturn.

    The Bildergerg group’s secret meeting determines many of the headlines and news developments that you will read about in the coming months.
    Although the Bilderberg group has lost some of its past lustre, on 5 to 8 May 2005 it met in Rottach-Egern (in Munich Germany) under its usual secrecy that makes a freemasonry lodge look like a playgroup.
    Of course, discussion at Bilderberg 2005 turned to oil. An American Bilderberg expressed concern over sky-rocketing oil prices. One oil industry insider at the meeting remarked that growth is not possible without energy, and according to all indicators the world’s energy supply is coming to an end much faster than the world leaders have anticipated.
    According to sources, Bilderbergers estimate the extractable world’s oil supply will last a maximum of 35 years under current economic development and population. However, one of the representatives of an oil cartel remarked that they must factor into the equation the population explosion and economic growth as well as demand for oil in China and India. Under the revised conditions, there is enough oil to last for 20 years. No oil spells the end of the world’s financial system – which has already been acknowledged by the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times, two newspapers that are regularly represented at the annual Bilderberg conference. The conclusion: expect a severe downturn in the world’s economy over the next two years as Bilderbergers try to safeguard the remaining oil supply by taking money out of people’s hands. In a recession or, at worst, a depression, the populationwill be forced to dramatically cut down their spending habits, thus ensuring a longer supply of oil to the world’s rich as they try to figure out what to do.
    During cocktails one afternoon, a European Bilderberg noted that there is no plausible alternative to hydrocarbon energy. One American insider stated that currently the world uses between four and six barrels of oil for every new barrel it finds, and that the prospects for a short term breakthough are slim at best. This confirms a public statement made in 2003 by HHS Energy, the world’s most respected consulting firm cataloguing oil reserves and discoveries, that for the first time since the 1920’s there was not a single discovery of an oil field in excess of 500 million barrels.
    One invitee asked for an estimate of the world’s accessible conventional oil supply. The amount was quoted at approximately one trillion barrels. As a side note of interest, the planet consumes a billion (1,000,000,000) barrels of oil every 11.5 days. Another Bilderberger asked about the hydrogen alternative to oil. The US Government official agreed gloomily that hydrogen’s salvation of the world’s imminent energy crisis is a fantasy.
    At the 2005 Bilderberg conference, the oil industry was represented by: John Browne, chief executive officer of BP; Sir John Kerr, director of Royal Dutch/Shell; Peter D. Sutherland, chairman of BP; and Jeroen van der Veer, chairman of the committee of managing directors at Royal Dutch/Shell. (Queen Beatrix of the Netherlands, Royal Dutch/Shell’s principal shareholder, is a fully fledged member of the Bilderbergers. Her father, Prince Bernhard, was one of the founders of the group back in 1954.)
    It should be noted that late in 2003, oil and gas giant Royal Dutch/Shell announced it had overstated its reserves by as much as 20%; in early 2004 it reduced its estimated oil and gas reserves by about 4.5 million barrels, but in October had to apply an additional cut of 1.15 billion barrels in reserve estimates. In fact, Shell’s three cuts in reserve estimates prompted the resignation of its co-chairman. The Los Angeles Times (18 January 2005) reported: “For petroleum firms, reserves amount to nothing less than ‘the value of the company’.”
    At Rottach-Egern in May 2005, the industry’s top executives tried to figure out how to keep the truth about diminishing oil reserves from reaching the public. Public knowledge of the diminishing reserves directly translates into lower share prices which could destroy financial markets, leading to a collapse of the world economy.
    An American Bilderberger wondered what it would take for the price of oil to go back to US$25 a barrel. Another American Bilderberger, believed to be Alan Hubbard, laconically stated that the general public does not realise that the price for cheap oil can be the bursting of the debt bubble. Cheap oil slows economic growth because it depresses commodity prices and reduces world liquidity.
    There is a strong indication, based on the information reported from Bilderberg 2005 meeting in Rottach-Egern, that the US Federal Reserve is extremely concerned about the debt bubble. One American Bilderberger reported that if the price of oil were to go down to its previous low of $25 a barrel, the debt-driven asset bubble would explode. Martin S. Feldstein, president of the National Bureau of Economic Research, added that $50 a barrel involves greater cash flow.
    According to publicly available information, the United States consumes daily approximately 20 million barrels of oil out of a total world consumption of 84 million barrels. At $50 a barrel, the aggregate oil bill for the US comes to $1 billion a day, $365 billion a year, about 3% of 2004 US gross domestic product (GDP). About 60% of US consumption is imported is imported at a cost of $600 million a day, or $219 billion a year.
    A short, shout man asked if the surging oil price would influence economic growth. Someone siting in the front row noted that higher energy prices do not take money out of the economy; they merely shift profit allocation from one business sector to another. After further discussion, a US General commented that war spending helps jump-start the economy, noting that the trick to keeping the opposition at bay is no limit collateral damage to foreign soil.
    A British Bilderberger noted oil at $120 a barrel would greatly benefit Britain and United States, but Russia and China would be the biggest winners. An expert in international relations and policy studies noted that for the Chinese this would be a real bonanza. The Chinese import energy not for domestic consumption but, instead, to fuel its growing cheap exports – a cost that would be duly passed on to foreign buyers. A European banker pointed out that Russia could effectively devalue the dollar by re-denominating its energy trade with Europe from dollars into euros, forcing Europe’s central banks to rebalance their foreign exchange reserves in favour of the euro. Jean-Claude Trichet, Governor of the European Central Bank, was present during the debate.
    [glum2]

    Not much I can do about things so I will just stay happy. [biggrin]
    Kerwyn

    Profile photo of foundationfoundation
    Member
    @foundation
    Join Date: 2005
    Post Count: 1,153

    Hi Kerwyn, thanks for the interesting post. We certainly are living in exciting times. Bring on the future!!!
    There are opportunities in every market, as I’ve been told here so many times! Like a good boy-scout, I’ll try to be prepared. (Better make sure the folks don’t sell the farm!)
    Cheers, F.[cowboy2]

    Profile photo of quigglesquiggles
    Member
    @quiggles
    Join Date: 2002
    Post Count: 98

    Heh, heh. The supersecret meeting of a group of which noone has ever heard meets again in total secrecy and has its entire agenda and discussions in the paper/ on the web etc.

    Standard technique for dressing up personal theories as the view of leading authorities without even having to find an authority to quote.

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