Forum Replies Created
I would love to hear what others think about the Residex reports and their value – if any. I answered a post on this site recently where a Buyer was relying on the report to submit offers on property and couldn't work out why he ketpt on missing out. I read his report and they appear exceptionally conservative.
On the shareing of the report situation, I think that you may be contravening an agreement made by Residex and the instigator of the report.
Good luck which ever way you choose to go.
Jon
We were discussing this very subject at a Business Group function that I attended the other day and some of the reasons were certainly worth mentioning here.
When I began selling property in 1977 in an outer suburb of Brisbane (Capalaba) the average spec house was selling for around $30,000, it came as a house only, no driveway no gardens and no fences – just the house. The average size of these houses was around 10 to 12 squares.
Attending the meeting on the day we had an Architect and a Builder from one of the major franchise companies and interestingly the both agreed that if they designed or built homes under 24 to 30 squares, they would not be able to sell them.
Does this mean that the new home buyers who complain about affordability are perhaps setting their sights on too much rather than working around what they can afford? Are the local Councils and or the Developers wrong in demanding that extras like fencing and landscaping and building covenants be a necessity and not an option?
Jon
There is no correct answer to your question; however there are several options that you should be aware of in order for you to make the correct decision for your future plan.
Here are a few of my thoughts on reading this post.
I have just been approved a loan for about 300k for an investment property (including costs as I have no deposit)
It doesn’t matter a fig how much the Banks will advance you when calculating your future plan, it is best to work on the figure that you can afford to contribute annually to your savings/retirement portfolio. That is to say that if you can only afford to contribute $5,000 a year or $100 per week then you need to find the property that will provide that short fall. Don’t put you neck in a noose relying on the fact that rents will rise and you may earn more next year, this is a sure recipe for disaster. What if interest rates rise, rents don’t go up or you don’t get the pay rise? The people who have trod this path in the past are the ones that tell you all of the short comings of property investment.
There are programs available that help you to calculate rates of return and short falls. Jan Somers company puts out an easy to use Property Analysis called PIA.
Foundation gives the story on borrowing using the P & I method. While I am not about to argue the toss on this method, I would suggest that you look further into it. I believe that when you borrow P&I you limit your future borrowings due to lack of future serviceability. Perhaps a better way would be to opt for an Interest Only loan that allows for you to make an annual lump sum payment to reduce the loan value, this way you can achieve the same result but make the payments if and when you can afford them. I am not a Financial Adviser or a Finance Broker so you should make your own investigations to make sure that my statements are correct. If your future plan was to purchase only one other property then the P&I method may well be the way to go as this is the conservative method. However I believe that another way to make money is to borrow as much as you can afford to service and get other people to help you meet the interest payments (tenant and Tax man) while you accumulate the capital gain on the amount of money invested.
The best way that I can explain this is to share an example of one of my clients. He has (more or less) purchased a unit each year from me since 1994. Total cost of Purchases $3,273,000 with a book value of $5,340,000 (conservative). His annual rental income on these properties is $250,640. His Interest Only payments on $3,273,000 at 7.5% are $245,475 so he is actually earning $5,165 in rental income per year. The real kicker is what happens over the next ten years. Allowing for normal property value increases, his current portfolio will have a book value of $10,680,000, an annual rental return of $448,812 or which he will require $261,840 to service the debt leaving him an annual income of $186, 972 and a Portfolio with an asset value of almost 7.5 million.
Jonwezwaz,
I believe it will depend on which State you live in as Contracts are prepared and executed differently by State so I can't speak for all, however in Queensland you can use a Lawyer or a Conveyancer and I would suggest that you phone and obtain a few quotes for the service that they provide. Understand that the Queensland Contracts have been written by the REIQ with advice obtained from the Law Society and as such they are fair to both parties, if anything they are weighted towards the Buyer with statutory 5 day cooling off period (in case you change your mind or feel that the agent forced or coerced you to sign the contract)Provided that you don't sign a cash unconditional contract you are relatively safe. This means that you need to understand such things as Subject to Finance (I advise that you speak to your lender prior to looking at property) Subject to Building and Pest Inspections and their ramifications, Settelemny dates and time required to complete. and in the case of Community Title purchases find out exactly what a Body Corporate Disclosure Statement should cover. It is no longer Buyer beware the onus is on the Seller to disclose all defects or matters that would have a bearing on the Buyers decision process. (As a matter of interest, I believe that houses should have to produce a disclosure statement as well )
Best I can do to help without legal jargon.
Jon
Perryjudd,
I can do better than that, if you would like to send me an email, I will reply with a full Property Analysis (6page report) which should answer all of your questions.
Jon
The Problem with advice, is that you have to be carefull where it comes from and what barrow that person is pushing. We all have pre conceived ideas and most of us seem to be single minded. From a legal perspective, obviously there are good ones and bad ones. I have seen Lawyers kill deals by being pedantic and I have seen other Lawyers explain things in laymens terms. Advice is still a good thing to get. I would like to share a true story with everyone here.
Some months ago I listed a two bedroom townhouse and when I went around to take some photos of the property the Tenant advised that he was interested in putting an offer on the property but wanted some time to do some research. I advised that that was fine and as it was only mid week we could have a chat after the week end open house. After the Open house the Tenant came up to me and said that he had done his research and was ready to place an offer on the property. His first comment was. How did I come at the asking price of $350,000? To which I replied that as I specialized in this type of property and had in fact sold several similar recently, I felt that I had advised the Vendor with a very realistic value. What was the reason for his question? To which he replied that he had paid $80.00 for a report from a company that specializes in Buyer Property Valuation reports, and according to his report the town house was only worth $300,000. I asked if I could have a look at the report to which he agreed and sure enough the report suggested a range of $280,000 to $320,000 depending on property condition. The Tenant had taken the middle road which in itself was fair enough. I advised that his report was useless as the information supplied was at least three months behind time and I was confident that I would achieve the sale price for my Vendor and that he should rethink his offer. Long and short of story, the property sold to the first open house visitor and for very close to full price. I think that the Tenant is still paying $80 for someone to give him advice and last I heard he was still looking.Jon
Hi perryjud,
I believe that your calculations are a little light on. By my calculations (and working on your income being $50K) the annual shortfall on this purchase would be $14,686 pre tax. or if you were to apply for a variation certificate you can reduce this to around $8000 a year.As for projected capital growth rates, thats just what they are – someones guess. I preferr to work on past figures actually achieved and on the unit in question, I have worked on a conservative 7% growth. The pre tax rate of return is 43.27% and the equity built over 10 years would be $304,746. Your total outlay over 10 years would be $52,108.
The question that you have to answer is, for an investment of $52,108 of your money over ten years to create an equity base of $304,746.(or $207,172 after Cap gains tax) Is that good enough? If the Government told you that for every $1 that you saved they would match it by $3, would you think that it was a reasonable deal?
Jon
Hleung,
Buy land in strategic locations, build brand new homes and hold on indefinitely. After each project, I've gained instant equity of approximately 20%,
This strategy looks good in principal and I am not knocking it in any way at all, however I believe that the 20% instant growth that you are receiving is based on the difference between your building cost and a Developers mark up plus the GST saving that you would have on the construction contract. This is great and would work a treat in Suburbs closer to town equally as well (if you can find the land). My doubts would be on the short term capital growth rate of a growing suburb.
I agree with your comments in your last post and would like to see further discussion. As to my choosing Coorparoo as a suburb, I can confidently say that my research shows that the same data would apply for any suburb within 6K GPo in Brisbane. Obviously I can not speek for other States, Cities, Towns or beyond the balck stump.
I have also read many of the Authors that you mentioned, in fact the results of my calculations were calculated on Jan Sommers PIA programme. I am also relying on the experiences of over 20 years of being in the real estate business and having witnessed other peoples successes and failures (not to mention my own).
Jon
Hi megsaletta
It depends whether you want a general read or a real “how to” book. If you’re serious you need to get a copy of ‘Residential Real Estate Development – A Practical Guide for Beginners to Experts”. It is written by Bob and Luke Andersen. Bob has 27 years of property development experience and over $1 billion in developments behind him. You can buy it from the Business Mall section of the Australian Property Investor magazine or direct from Bob’s website http://www.propertystrategies.net There is no better advice than from those who have done it.
Jon
Hleung stated,
I'm sure I would have done a lot better if I invested in land because it is the land that goes up in value, not the building which goes down in value. I really don’t know who started this story, but I believe that it’s time someone gave the other side to the equation. There are two main approaches that people can take when deciding to invest in property and we should first understand these differences. We can enter into a long term investment or speculate. For most full time working Mum and Dad investors, the long term investment is the best option. On the other hand (and I really think that this type covers the majority of investors on this site) some people enjoy speculative investment. This type can be varied but usually centers around a value add scenario or development. Don’t misunderstand me, both types can be viable, however I stress here that with speculative investment, in most cases you simply buy yourself another job and pay more tax (both personal and Cap gains). As the statement above is more often than not related to long term investments lets analyse the facts a bit further. While it is fair to say that I have not researched Inner City Units compared to Outer Suburb Houses (I will try to find the time to do so), but from here, I am going to rely on figures that I have previously researched for the suburb of Coorparoo in Brisbane. We are going to look at a ten year period from 1994 to 2004. Now the first thing we must agree on is that as we are attempting to analyse which is the better investment we must get rid of all emotion (virtually impossible for the majority of investors) and consider the rate of return on the actual money that we invest in the property.
The Assumptions
Information House Unit
Median price 1994 $160,000 $120,000
Purchasers Income $47,000 $47,000
Capital Growth Rate 9% 7.15%
Inflation Rate 6% 6%
Median Rent return 1994 $165 $150
Median Rent return 2004 $275 $248
Management fees 8.25% 8.25% Rates $1,800 $1,200
Building Insurance $400 In BC Fees
External Maintenance $1,000 In BC Fees
Body Corp Fees Nil $1,200
Borrowings on Int only at 6.5% 6.5%
Using the data above in a Property Investment Analysis projection we find that over ten years the results are as follows.
Information House Unit
Purchase Value 1994 $160,000 $120,000
Value2004 $378,778 $239,388
Equity $210,795 $112,871
Investor Contributions
Over 10 years $33,722 $8,581
However, when we started this analysis we stated that what we were looking at was the rate of return on the dollar that we invest, so that in order to make the investments equal we need to divide the House investment of $33,722 by the Unit investment of $8,581 which will give us a coefficient of 3.93. We must then multiply the Equity of $112,871 by the 3.93 which would give a figure of $443,583. In other words if an investor had to decide whether to contribute $33,722 into a house investment in order to make a gain of $210,795 or a unit investment to gain $443,583 – should the value of the land increasing and building decreasing have any bearing on the decision?
I’ll leave you to make that decision, but hasten to add that there is more to a good investment than land value.Jon
Matthias, At $170,000 the land must be a fair way out of Brisbane – like Beaudesert?
Anyway to answer your question as to cost to produce. You can work on around $50K per block.
My greatest fear is the 2 years that it will take for the Council to make any decision and the holding costs involved while they attempt to make that decision.
Jon
I fully understand that my comments will most likely be considered as biased, however it is my opinion that the capital growth difference between houses and units within a close proximity to the CBD of Brisbane (5k) is almost the same. The shift in demographics and with affordability as it is combined with Council requirements regarding post 1946 housing in these inner areas (character housing) has to a great degree levelled the playing field. If you can no longer remove a house from the block of land it could be argued that the land is actually devalued.
My 2c worth – happy to discuss
Jon
I haven’t been personally to a property development workshop by Positive Property Strategies but I have heard that it is highly informative and very good value. I believe it is run by Bob Andersen who is a well respected developer in Brisbane who has authored a book on property development.
His web site can be seen in his signature in the post above and it would be beneficial to a lot of members on this site to have a look.
Jon
Bob Andersen said,
What you're proposing is speculation, not investment.This is quite correct, in my opinion, there is a huge difference between speculation and Investment. I notice that many people on this site get the two mixed up. Buying off the plan with the intent to sell either prior to or just after settlement requires a lot of research. I have seen people make a lot of money and also loose a lot of money speculating this way.
Be very carefull and for goodness sake don't listen to anyone who is likely to gain from the sale. Get indipendant advice.
Jon
Actually 381.73m2. To calculate multiply 25.75 X 12.61 = 324.70 Then multiply 4.43 (17.04 – 12.61) x 25.75 and halve it for half the rectangle = 57.03 and add the two amounts 324.7 + 57.03 = 381.73m2
Jon
blogs wrote:
There certainly does seem to be a re occuring theme of the tradies being very 'sensitive' and overly defenssive. On one side there is an argument about sub standard work being provided and people being ripped off, and yet the tradies who all reply seem to ignore this totally and reply in defense of their self worth and right to make a living and that they are not second class citizens etc-seems to be some deep seated issues there fellas……therapy anyone??I did make one comment early in this stupid thread and have since just sat back and read in amazement as the posts have just kept coming. Blogs, I think that you are suggesting therapy for the wrong people. I'm possibly on my own here, but I just can't believe the number of so called investors who seem to believe that everyone owes them a living so that they can go on to be self made millionaires. At anyone elses expense but their own – Just look at the posts that suggest Agents are overpaid and do a lousy job – Mortgage Brokers are ripping people off – Tradies charge too much – Lawyers and Conveyancers are too dear – Don't pay for advertising – It seems to me that people (read investors) need to learn economics before attempting to create IP's.
My 2c worth on this boring subject.
Jon
Stephen, While I can'r be posative about WA law, in Queensland it would be illegal to advise a customer that there was another offer if there was not and heafty penalties would apply. It seem interesting that you bring this subject up as I have just finished reading an article on this subject in the REIQ Journal. Best practice dictates that if an agent does have multiple offers then it is in their best interest to protect themselves from possible litigation by advising the Purchasers that there are multiple offers being put on the property and in fact there is a specific form that it is prudent to have signed by the buyers to show that you have informed them of the risk of not submitting their best offer.
Let me assure you that in the event that a buyer does miss out due to not being informed, you will hear the hugh and cry from across the world. "The lousy agent didn't give me the opportunity to negotiate and I would have paid more" – sure, and hell might freeze over too.
Devil if you do and devil if you don't situation. But at least you know that the property must be priced close to value.
Jon
KA010,
1) Can you suggest a proffessional body that would be able to assist in the process of putting together a formal proposal to the owners i.e should I approach a solicitior, surveyor or would you suggest just corresponding directly with the Body corporate (is it something the body corporate are not going to want to proceed with) or alternatively do it myself
An interesting question and I'm not sure if it is the way you have written it or my missunderstanding of the way that you have written it. It seems to me that many people have an incorrect understanding of Bodies Corporate. The company that has been employed to run the Body Corporate for a complex are in fact just that – employees. The owners of the indvidual units in a complex form the Body Corporate and as such they dictate to the Employee (Body Corporate Companie) what actions they wish to be carried out. The main purpose of employing a Body Corporate Company to run the show is to make sure that everything is done legally and on time and to hold the records in a secure place for future reference.
2) The Annual General Meeting agenda has already been set therefore how can I put forward this idea before the meeting. I have the name, addresses and number of all owners, should I put something together and send it off to the owners individually? I agree I should give them the chance to asses and review the project themselves before the meeting
At this point in time, I would not bother to enlist the assistance of any one who is likely to charge money untill you have assessed the general feelings of the other unit owners. You may have an opportunity to discuss your thoughts at the meeting during General Business. Perhaps then (if you get enough support) you may be able to go away and come back with some quotes for further discussion.
Jon
Hi Marc, and thanks for the kind words of encouragement. I do honestly try to help but sometimes the frustartion does show through. I promise that I will try to be a good boy.
In relation to your comments:-
On the subject of advertising, I can say from experience (expensive and el cheapo) that a photo in the agent's window, an ad on the internet and a sign on the front fence is all you need. Maybe a very small ad in the r/e section of the big newspaper r/e section on a saturday as well, but nothing fancy.
Under many circumstances, I agree whole heartedly, however try putting a sign on a multi story building and see how long before the Body Corporate tear it down. Marketing property is an art form and in order to get the best results for the Client there are many factors that need to be taken into consideration. Way too many for me to even attempt to discuss here.
and this statement:-
The buyers are already out there looking and will be on the internet and behind the wheel, scouring the streets in your neighborhood and peering in the agent's windows.
While this is obviously correct to a certain extent, I will share a little statistic with you. Recently I listed two units in the same complex one a two bedroom, one bathroom for $397,500 and the other a two bedroom plus study (large enough to fit a double bed) two bathroom, two car space for $460,000. Now both of these properties went up on the Internet on the same day and today (after two weeks exposure) there has been 360 hits on the sub $400K unit and only 63 hits on the $460K unit. The two bed is sold after three inspections and I have yet to have an inspection on the two plus study. Does this mean that the internet only works for property under $400K? – No, it means that under 400K is where the majority of buyers are and over $400K will take a little longer while I try to expose it to more possible buyers by placing an advertisement in the paper.
Marc, over 20 years of selling property and they just keep shifting the goal posts. I'm still trying to keep up and learn.
One of my favourite sayings is "If you keep doing today, the same as you did yesterday, you will get the same results tomorrow"
When marketing property, nothing stays the same.
Jon
Hi Kensington,
I would suggest that you talk to your friends in PNG and see if any of them can point you in the direction of an Agent who they may have had a good experience with and contact them and ask if they are prepared to help you find a place.
The real problem that most Investor Purchasers have is taking away the emotional side of the equation of the purchase. As agents we look at property daily and often see one that shows an exceptional return for one reason or another, however, trying to convince an unknown investor of this is nigh on impossible. From your time poor position the biggest decision that you will have to make is one of trust.
Jon



