There have been local impacts with Brisbane and reduced prices and higher rents, on a city level I suspect the impact has been quite limited, working out exactly how much of the slow market is due to the flooding is only an estimate though.
Rest of the year.. It's an educated guess I always say, though if forced to guess I would look at the interest rate expectation curve 18 months out, another rate rise might present some more motivated sellers, buying conditions are already good but perhaps might get even better.
A recent quote I particularly liked about the business of predicting: – From 'The Personal MBA' 'Many people make a business of selling certainty, which doesn't exist. Prediction, forecasting and other forms of business soothsaying are popular because they provide the illusion that the future is knowable and controllable. Excersizes in prediction aren't worth the cost – if there was a foolproof way to predict gas prices, interest rates, or stock prices, the people with the magix knowledge would be enormously wealthy and would have no need to sell you anything'
Comparing to early 2010 when I was looking with a 300k budget for houses in Logan there is significantly more choice and higher yield around today, the higher yield coming mainly from lower prices.
Due to the amount of enquiry I have been getting in the <350k and <300k price brackets from investors, often looking around Logan because they need the higher yield as well, I've just adjusted my fee structure as a trial to make it less expensive to hire a BA for these investors. Can't say it's a large trend yet but it's something that I have reacted to.
I'm Happy to meet for an obligation free chat if you want to learn more about the industry, I'm willing to tell you all the positives and negatives you likely won't read about online!
More information on this thread, also a search of the forum will reveal more results.
That's an impressive square one to be back at, I like the game you play! It's a strong starting square in terms of all the components, net worth + income + saving habit
Key take away from your post is that your lifestyle is well covered by your income, that's pretty important. I see people who earn more money than 160k, sometimes significantly more who struggle to make ends meet and get ahead.
First step I think is to work on the knowledge base, for property I quite like the investor group meetings that are available in most places, the kind of evenings where you pay $20-$30, get some coffee and bikkies and make contacts and listen to different people speak about their business or investing experiences.
In my experience what you have said is the truth. Risk is always there and there are precious few guarantees in life, you can slice and dice it and do what you can to hedge and reduce it.. but in the end risk is always there.
Thinking specifically of the 'capital guaranteed' range of financial products that were being heavily promoted in the last few years, which in reality passed as much risk as possible on to the little retail investor and pretended the opposite was true.
One issue is to watch out for is a premium on the price, I've seen some ordinary results for DHA investors as they simply paid too much for the property, applies to all property but perhaps a little more so to an area where the marketing is so powerful.
DHA house in Brisbane.
Bought in 2003 for 341k Sold in 2010 for 458k
Assuming the investment tracked the gains from a Brisbane housing index over the same time frame the sale price should have been around 610k. So the original investor would have been significantly better served by throwing a dart at a map when buying.
On inspecting an open house today the real estate agent told us that the terms of the contract will be 3 day for B&P inspection and 14 days for finance! Happy to have Building & Pest done, but not happy that were being told timeframes. Is this normal for RE to suggest? Never been told this before and not considering putting in an offer now…. well not in the region of the asking price anyway and B&P will be looked at prior to offer. (in QLD)
The terms of the contract can be changed to whatever you like before you sign, three days for building and pest is something you shouldn't agree to without a compelling reason, quite a strange request from the selling agent but doesn't surprise me.
Perhaps your information source is thinking of the SEQ regional plan? Upper Mt Gravatt and Carindale are principal activity centres from this document, nothing new about that information though.
TOD (transport orientated development) is also a possibility, but nothing specific for Mt Gravatt that I have seen.
The Logan region in Brisbane has plenty of choices <200k, yields 6-7% are common, more with some value adding done.
A 'good' area is subjective, and the nature of the <200k price range implies compromise. A useful method of doing some long distance research is to find some local property managers and phone them for a chat, mention you are interested in buying in the area and ask for their advice. Also google the property investing forums (there are a few around) for investors who already own there, message them and have a chat, it doesn't take long and you can learn a lot.
Personally I would need a compelling reason to buy in a larger complex, to me the value is in the established housing on larger blocks. Marketers are on the ground in numbers at the moment out here, so watch out for who is selling you a property.
You can get 4+2+2 well conditioned not too old brick houses on 600+ blocks in suburbs nearby for around the 350k level, to me this really places a limit of what you can reasonably ask for townhouses.
As in all things investment wise it's important to do your homework well.
By the way, I love the description.. Rippa King! It's an improvement
what service is each providing? a) Are any of them charging you an upfront fee ie getting commitment from your part to allow them to start representation for you? with the balance upon execution of a contract of Sale? b) Are they independent or are they trying to sell their 'own stock'? c) Are you being funnelled into a sausage factory? d) Are they showing you any options? e) How detailed a brief have they sought from you? f) How much research are they providing you with? g) How do you go about making an informed decision without background information? h) Are you being aligned with their in-house finance/legal 'experts'? – Have they disclosed the kickbacks from these organisations?
Hi Scott,
I always get a smile when agencies publish their list of 10 must ask questions you have to ask your agent, of course said agency that published the list no doubt fulfills 100% of their own questions!
I suggest the following template when interviewing a prospective Buyers' Agent.
* Check insurance * Check agency principal's history and character * Ask for sample purchases similar to your target profile * Do some digging yourself and verify knowledge and experience & what they have been buying * Have a chat with 1-2 previous clients, talk about the weather.. whatever.. just throw in the question 'would you use X again?' and pay attention to the answer
None of this would take particularly long and it would solve a lot of problems I believe. Also it's not a scientific list yet, just a beginning and open to improvement!
In response to your questions I would answer
a) Definitely. 25% of total fee up front and remainder on unconditional. b) Independent c) No d) A lot. Average search time 26 days, but maximum in 2010 was 4 months, plenty of properties carefully inspected. e) Very detailed, the idea is to fulfill the client's needs rather than to push them in any particular direction, so working out all criteria and which are most important is critical. f) Really a lot, something to ask for examples of when you are interviewing an agent! g) I'm not sure I understand this question properly, without background info of client or property you can't do anything. h) No, though some alignment can work well without conflict. Also all benefits and discounts passed 100% onto client.