All Topics / General Property / Expert Bust #19 Highly Desirable Areas are Overrated

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  • Profile photo of Jeremy SheppardJeremy Sheppard
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    @jeremydsrdata
    Join Date: 2015
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    I’ve heard plenty of experts say something like, “This area will always be in high demand”. But it is a misleading kind of “demand”.

     


    A teenage boy might “demand” a Ferrari, but that demand has no impact on the price of Ferraris.

    Historical data shows that exclusive, affluent, nice areas don’t outperform lower socio-economic areas over the long-term. High capital growth has nothing to do with how nice an area is, or how desirable it is.

    Imagine a thousand mansions and only 10 millionaires. That’s over-supply and it leads to prices falling.

     

    Conversely, picture 10 dog-boxes and a thousand bogans. That’s a case where demand exceeds supply, which leads to price growth.

    Notice how it had nothing to do with price or nice. It’s all to do with Supply & Demand. That’s all there is to it. But we gotta read the right demand. Wishful thinking doesn’t count. A genuine buyer offering a higher price is the demand of interest to us.

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