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Japanese Banks coming

Submitted by scha9799 on January 30, 2012 - 1:21pm.

Joined: 03/10/2009

Hi all,

I would like see some broker's opinions on how the Japanese banks coming to Australian market how they will affect our property market and interest rate ?

Will this a lead to a new low rate era ?  ( historically, our rate is about 8 % variable ), will this affect lead to say maybe 6% variable average for the next coming says decade or 15 years ?


Freckle's picture

January 30, 2012 - 1:59pm

Joined: 25/01/2012

Mark Bouris stirring the pot again.

http://www.theadviser.com.au/breaking-news/6559-foreign-banks-would-fail-to-compete-resi

I wouldn't get too excited about the Japs coming. If it was as easy as some make out and the profits there for the taking they'd have been here years ago.

The Freckle

The Freckle


Pat007's picture

January 30, 2012 - 2:16pm

Joined: 11/01/2012

Still.. being a foreign bank to Australia , they may be more inclined to loan on overseas investments.
worth keeping an eye on i think !


Freckle's picture

January 30, 2012 - 2:21pm

Joined: 25/01/2012

Pat007 wrote:
Still.. being a foreign bank to Australia , they may be more inclined to loan on overseas investments.
worth keeping an eye on i think !

Depends on risk. The Japs got smashed in their PI market and have never recovered. I'd expect them to be risk averse and look for the cream in our market. Still if they do come it'll be through someone else's back door I'm betting.

The Freckle

The Freckle


Qlds007's picture

January 30, 2012 - 9:20pm

Joined: 23/08/2003

Sorry Pat no chance at all.

Chinese Banks have been here for years and their small change is equivalent to the GDP of Japan.

They have had little or no impact on the overall borrowing market and in fact rates are higher than local Australian institutions.

Cheers

Yours in Finance

Richard Taylor - richard@tayloredfinancialsolutions.com.au Tel: 07 3720 1888
Residential Mortgage Broker providing structured home loan advice for investors and owner occupiers all over Australia.
Want to live of your rental income? 0-40 properties in a decade. Email me for a copy of my API Magazine interview


Derek's picture

January 30, 2012 - 9:28pm

Joined: 26/01/2004

Hi Richard,

Interesting comments you make.

Quite different to the way the possible entry of Japanese banks was promoted as that of bringing more competition, better options for borrowers etc. Or was that just my hopeful mind going into overdrive again?

Derek
North Perth Project coming up - est +$92K profit & rent returns ~9%+ - http://tinyurl.com/7untpjy
derek@eosproperty.com.au | www.eosproperty.com.au | 1300 558 114


Qlds007's picture

January 30, 2012 - 9:47pm

Joined: 23/08/2003

Hi Derek

Hate to say we said that when Bank of China arrived.

Within 3 months their lending policies tightened and their interest discounts disappeared.

I saw it in the 80's in the UK with the French, Spanish and US Banks who arrived in their droves.
Promised the world yet some years most had packed up their bags and gone.

I would love to say Yes it will bring serious competition but i hate to say think it will make absolutely no difference.

Cheers

Yours in Finance

   

Richard Taylor - richard@tayloredfinancialsolutions.com.au Tel: 07 3720 1888
Residential Mortgage Broker providing structured home loan advice for investors and owner occupiers all over Australia.
Want to live of your rental income? 0-40 properties in a decade. Email me for a copy of my API Magazine interview


Derek's picture

January 30, 2012 - 10:00pm

Joined: 26/01/2004

Thanks for that - this time will be different :)

Derek
North Perth Project coming up - est +$92K profit & rent returns ~9%+ - http://tinyurl.com/7untpjy
derek@eosproperty.com.au | www.eosproperty.com.au | 1300 558 114


xdrew's picture

January 30, 2012 - 10:43pm

Joined: 20/11/2010

The Japanese Banks .. given entry to Australia as a possible market .. will do what they can to make an impact in the financial arena.

However .. my guess would be the market in Australia is very much pivotal around the four pillars at the moment and any foreign entry would find the grounds for establishment very difficult.

The only grounds they would have for greater success is that they are not likely tied to specific categories at this stage. So they can approach with an open mind our current system and find a niche.

Doubtful that such an area exists though. There is no advantage for holding a savings account .. they would all be borrowing off the same wholesale money markets that the other banks borrow off .. so the likeliness of rate competitiveness is limited. Service is being whittled away at banks .. so .. there is no specific area that they can create a leading niche category.

After saying all that .. i'm sure they arent going to enter the markets blindsight .. so i am hoping to be proven wrong.
Japanese have a habit of researching their markets thoroughly before any possible achievement .. so if they are coming they'll have bags of research and expectations. Its just knowing Australians that may be their point of weakness.


Qlds007's picture

January 30, 2012 - 11:06pm

Joined: 23/08/2003

Xdrew

I saw Sumitomo come into the UK in force in the 80's and they lasted a matter of years.
At the time they were the largest Banking organisation in the world but couldnt their head around Uk pecularities.

I cant see any non Australian Bank be keen to enter into niche lending unless they have a foot on the ground for a few years.

Cheers

Yours in Finance

Richard Taylor - richard@tayloredfinancialsolutions.com.au Tel: 07 3720 1888
Residential Mortgage Broker providing structured home loan advice for investors and owner occupiers all over Australia.
Want to live of your rental income? 0-40 properties in a decade. Email me for a copy of my API Magazine interview


Terryw's picture

January 31, 2012 - 5:29pm

Joined: 01/01/2002

I agree with Richard - it will have no effect.

Regards

Terryw


February 2, 2012 - 6:47pm

Joined: 07/10/2011

I also agree that they won't have any effect. Seems to be alot of media hype about it, but when and if they do come, I think they're going to still have a hard time competing with the Aussie banks


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